Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1204
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1204
03 Nov 2022
 | 03 Nov 2022

Sensitivity analysis of erosion on the landward slope of an earthen flood defence submitted to wave overtoppings

Clément Lutringer, Adrien Poupardin, Philippe Sergent, Abdelkrim Bennabi, and Jena Jeong

Abstract. The study aims to provide a complete analysis framework applied to an earthen dyke located in Camargue, France. This dyke is regularly submitted to erosion on the landward slope that needs to be repaired. Improving the resilience of the dyke calls for a reliable model of damage frequency. The developed system is a combination of copula theory, empirical wave propagation and overtopping equations as well as a global sensitivity analysis in order to provide the return period of erosional damage on a set dyke while also providing recommendations in order for the dyke to be reinforced as well the model to be self-5 improved. The results give a good correspondence, within uncertainty range, between the model prediction of return periods and the on-site observation (≈ two-year return period). The mean of the return periods is slightly higher with an average return period of six years but the peak of the distribution is located around the two years mark. The sensitivity analysis shows that the geometrical characteristics of the dyke - slope angles and dyke height - are the ones carrying the highest amount of uncertainty into the system, showing that maintaining a homogeneous dyke is of great importance. Some empirical parameters intervening inside the propagation and overtopping process are also fairly uncertain and suggest that using more robust methods at their corresponding steps could improve the reliability of the framework. The obtained return periods have been confirmed by current in situ observations but the uncertainty increases for the most severe events due to the lack of long-term data.

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

27 Sep 2023
Sensitivity analysis of erosion on the landward slope of an earthen flood defense located in southern France submitted to wave overtopping
Clément Houdard, Adrien Poupardin, Philippe Sergent, Abdelkrim Bennabi, and Jena Jeong
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3111–3124, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3111-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3111-2023, 2023
Short summary

Clément Lutringer et al.

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-1204', Anonymous Referee #1, 01 Dec 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Clément Lutringer, 02 Jan 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-1204', Anonymous Referee #2, 03 Jan 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Clément Lutringer, 20 Jan 2023

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-1204', Anonymous Referee #1, 01 Dec 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Clément Lutringer, 02 Jan 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-1204', Anonymous Referee #2, 03 Jan 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Clément Lutringer, 20 Jan 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (23 Jan 2023) by Francesco Marra
AR by Clément Houdard on behalf of the Authors (08 Feb 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (08 Feb 2023) by Francesco Marra
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (20 Feb 2023)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (24 Feb 2023)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (24 Feb 2023) by Francesco Marra
AR by Clément Houdard on behalf of the Authors (28 Mar 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (29 Mar 2023) by Francesco Marra
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (04 Apr 2023)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (12 Apr 2023) by Francesco Marra
AR by Clément Houdard on behalf of the Authors (22 May 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (24 May 2023) by Francesco Marra
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (02 Jun 2023)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (14 Jun 2023) by Francesco Marra
AR by Clément Houdard on behalf of the Authors (23 Jun 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (26 Jun 2023) by Francesco Marra
AR by Clément Houdard on behalf of the Authors (05 Jul 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (07 Jul 2023) by Francesco Marra
ED: Publish as is (06 Aug 2023) by Paolo Tarolli (Executive editor)
AR by Clément Houdard on behalf of the Authors (16 Aug 2023)

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

27 Sep 2023
Sensitivity analysis of erosion on the landward slope of an earthen flood defense located in southern France submitted to wave overtopping
Clément Houdard, Adrien Poupardin, Philippe Sergent, Abdelkrim Bennabi, and Jena Jeong
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3111–3124, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3111-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3111-2023, 2023
Short summary

Clément Lutringer et al.

Clément Lutringer et al.

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The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

Short summary
We developped a system able to to predict, knowing the appropriate characteristics of the flood defence structure and sea state, the return periods of potentially dangerous events as well as a ranking of parameters by order of uncertainty. The model is a combination of statistical and empirical methods that have been applied to a mediterranean earthen dyke. This shows that the most important characteristics of the dyke are its geometrical features such as its height slope angles.