Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4542
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4542
30 Oct 2025
 | 30 Oct 2025

Optimizing Airborne Emission Rate Retrievals with Sub-Hectometre Resolution Numerical Modelling

Sepehr Fathi, Mark Gordon, and Jingliang Hao

Abstract. A comprehensive model-based study is designed to provide optimal flight paths for airborne top-down emission rate retrieval methodologies. The meteorology and plume dispersion were modelled using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) modelling platform with the Advanced Research WRF (ARW) dynamical core at 50-m resolution. Multiple flight path designs and parameters were investigated to determine emission rate retrieval accuracy as a function of downwind distance and transect spacing, which are ultimately related to flight time and cost. Three unique source types (multiple smokestack plumes, small area sources, and a large area source) were investigated for 4 summer afternoon flight cases over 2 days. The results demonstrate that emissions estimate uncertainty is primarily due to storage and release. The average advective flux estimates are within 12 % of the known emissions for downwind distance of D ≥ 4 km. Variability between flights decreases with D. For stack sources the variability near D = 10 km is approximately half that at D = 4 km. For small area sources, there is less reduction with D, and for the large area source, variability reaches a minimum at D = 8 km. For stack sources, transect spacing is optimized at 100 m, while for area sources, a spacing of 50 m reduces uncertainty. Error due to extrapolation below the lowest flight path is less than 20 % for stack sources and less than 30 % for area sources for non-dimensionalized downwind distance of D' ≥ 3. Results demonstrate the need for surface sampling coincident with the flights to reduce extrapolation error, and the use of modeling with reanalysis data to account for storage and release effects.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

16 Jun 2026
Optimizing airborne emission rate retrievals with sub-hectometre resolution numerical modelling
Sepehr Fathi, Mark Gordon, and Jingliang Hao
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 19, 3911–3931, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-3911-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-3911-2026, 2026
Short summary
Sepehr Fathi, Mark Gordon, and Jingliang Hao

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4542', Joseph Pitt, 01 Dec 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mark Gordon, 10 Feb 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4542', Anonymous Referee #2, 18 Dec 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Mark Gordon, 10 Feb 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Mark Gordon on behalf of the Authors (06 Mar 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (28 Mar 2026) by Dominik Brunner
RR by Joseph Pitt (13 Apr 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (27 Apr 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (11 May 2026) by Dominik Brunner
AR by Mark Gordon on behalf of the Authors (14 May 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (28 May 2026) by Dominik Brunner
AR by Mark Gordon on behalf of the Authors (28 May 2026)  Manuscript 

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4542', Joseph Pitt, 01 Dec 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mark Gordon, 10 Feb 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4542', Anonymous Referee #2, 18 Dec 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Mark Gordon, 10 Feb 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Mark Gordon on behalf of the Authors (06 Mar 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (28 Mar 2026) by Dominik Brunner
RR by Joseph Pitt (13 Apr 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (27 Apr 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (11 May 2026) by Dominik Brunner
AR by Mark Gordon on behalf of the Authors (14 May 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (28 May 2026) by Dominik Brunner
AR by Mark Gordon on behalf of the Authors (28 May 2026)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

16 Jun 2026
Optimizing airborne emission rate retrievals with sub-hectometre resolution numerical modelling
Sepehr Fathi, Mark Gordon, and Jingliang Hao
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 19, 3911–3931, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-3911-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-3911-2026, 2026
Short summary
Sepehr Fathi, Mark Gordon, and Jingliang Hao
Sepehr Fathi, Mark Gordon, and Jingliang Hao

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Short summary
Aircraft are often used to measure emissions from industry and other sources by flying downwind of the source and measuring the pollutant winds and concentration. This study uses model simulation to help choose the best flight configuration and parameters for a given source type (e.g. smokestacks, mine faces, or surface emissions). The results provide uncertainty estimates based on downwind flight distances, which can be used to choose the optimal downwind flight distance for their study.
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