Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3625
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3625
08 Sep 2025
 | 08 Sep 2025

Review Article: The Foundation-Patuxent-Academy ice stream system, Antarctica

Neil Ross, Rebecca J. Sanderson, Bernd Kulessa, Martin Siegert, Guy J. G. Paxman, Keir A. Nichols, Matthew R. Siegfried, Stewart S. R. Jamieson, Michael J. Bentley, Tom A. Jordan, Christine L. Batchelor, David Small, Olaf Eisen, Kate Winter, Robert G. Bingham, S. Louise Callard, Rachel Carr, Christine F. Dow, Helen A. Fricker, Emily Hill, Benjamin H. Hills, Coen Hofstede, Hafeez Jeofry, Felipe Napoleoni, and Wilson Sauthoff

Abstract. The Foundation-Patuxent-Academy system (FPAS) is a major Antarctic ice stream system with a global sea level potential of ~3 m. Draining both East and West Antarctica, the FPAS has been understudied compared with other major Antarctic ice streams. We provide a holistic catchment-scale overview of the FPAS reviewing its glaciological and hydrological systems, its glacial history, and its modelled response to past and future climate change. FPAS may be vulnerable to future change because of: (i) a deep (~2.4 km below sea level) low-gradient retrograde bed that encourages grounding-zone retreat; (ii) a low-gradient ice surface and high tidal range, which are likely to promote flotation of grounded ice and seawater intrusion; (iii) an active and dynamic subglacial hydrological system; (iv) complex ice-meltwater-ocean interactions at the grounding zone; (v) potential for substantive expansion of the across-flow length – and cross sectional area – of the grounding zone; and (vi) susceptibility to ice flow-switching and water piracy. Despite such potential vulnerabilities, existing numerical model simulations of FPAS grounding-zone retreat produce a wide and divergent range of past and future scenarios. Uncertainties in the future response of the FPAS to a warming climate result from poor constraints on its topography and hydrology, processes of ice-ocean interaction, interlinkages with the surrounding ice sheet and ice shelf, and a shortage of FPAS-specific modelling experiments. This review outlines and evaluates these critical gaps in our knowledge of the FPAS and develops a strategy to address them. This strategy would provide: (i) the first robust and comprehensive evaluation of the FPAS’s vulnerability to current and near-future climate forcing; and (ii) improved constraints on projections of the future contribution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to sea-level rise.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of The Cryosphere. The peer-review process was guided by an independent editor, and the authors also have no other competing interests to declare.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

01 Jul 2026
| Highlight paper
Review article: The Foundation-Patuxent-Academy ice stream system, Antarctica
Neil Ross, Rebecca J. Sanderson, Bernd Kulessa, Martin Siegert, Guy J. G. Paxman, Keir A. Nichols, Matthew R. Siegfried, Stewart S. R. Jamieson, Michael J. Bentley, Tom A. Jordan, Christine L. Batchelor, David Small, Olaf Eisen, Kate Winter, Robert G. Bingham, S. Louise Callard, Rachel Carr, Christine F. Dow, Helen A. Fricker, Emily Hill, Benjamin H. Hills, Coen Hofstede, Hafeez Jeofry, Felipe Napoleoni, and Wilson Sauthoff
The Cryosphere, 20, 3705–3737, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-3705-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-3705-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
Neil Ross, Rebecca J. Sanderson, Bernd Kulessa, Martin Siegert, Guy J. G. Paxman, Keir A. Nichols, Matthew R. Siegfried, Stewart S. R. Jamieson, Michael J. Bentley, Tom A. Jordan, Christine L. Batchelor, David Small, Olaf Eisen, Kate Winter, Robert G. Bingham, S. Louise Callard, Rachel Carr, Christine F. Dow, Helen A. Fricker, Emily Hill, Benjamin H. Hills, Coen Hofstede, Hafeez Jeofry, Felipe Napoleoni, and Wilson Sauthoff

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3625', Duncan Young, 14 Oct 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1 (reviewer 1)', Neil Ross, 06 Feb 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3625', Anonymous Referee #2, 28 Dec 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2 (reply to reviewer 2)', Neil Ross, 06 Feb 2026

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3625', Duncan Young, 14 Oct 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1 (reviewer 1)', Neil Ross, 06 Feb 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3625', Anonymous Referee #2, 28 Dec 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2 (reply to reviewer 2)', Neil Ross, 06 Feb 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (09 Feb 2026) by Joseph MacGregor
AR by Neil Ross on behalf of the Authors (27 Mar 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (13 Apr 2026) by Joseph MacGregor
AR by Neil Ross on behalf of the Authors (15 May 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (19 May 2026) by Joseph MacGregor
AR by Neil Ross on behalf of the Authors (02 Jun 2026)

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

01 Jul 2026
| Highlight paper
Review article: The Foundation-Patuxent-Academy ice stream system, Antarctica
Neil Ross, Rebecca J. Sanderson, Bernd Kulessa, Martin Siegert, Guy J. G. Paxman, Keir A. Nichols, Matthew R. Siegfried, Stewart S. R. Jamieson, Michael J. Bentley, Tom A. Jordan, Christine L. Batchelor, David Small, Olaf Eisen, Kate Winter, Robert G. Bingham, S. Louise Callard, Rachel Carr, Christine F. Dow, Helen A. Fricker, Emily Hill, Benjamin H. Hills, Coen Hofstede, Hafeez Jeofry, Felipe Napoleoni, and Wilson Sauthoff
The Cryosphere, 20, 3705–3737, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-3705-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-3705-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
Neil Ross, Rebecca J. Sanderson, Bernd Kulessa, Martin Siegert, Guy J. G. Paxman, Keir A. Nichols, Matthew R. Siegfried, Stewart S. R. Jamieson, Michael J. Bentley, Tom A. Jordan, Christine L. Batchelor, David Small, Olaf Eisen, Kate Winter, Robert G. Bingham, S. Louise Callard, Rachel Carr, Christine F. Dow, Helen A. Fricker, Emily Hill, Benjamin H. Hills, Coen Hofstede, Hafeez Jeofry, Felipe Napoleoni, and Wilson Sauthoff
Neil Ross, Rebecca J. Sanderson, Bernd Kulessa, Martin Siegert, Guy J. G. Paxman, Keir A. Nichols, Matthew R. Siegfried, Stewart S. R. Jamieson, Michael J. Bentley, Tom A. Jordan, Christine L. Batchelor, David Small, Olaf Eisen, Kate Winter, Robert G. Bingham, S. Louise Callard, Rachel Carr, Christine F. Dow, Helen A. Fricker, Emily Hill, Benjamin H. Hills, Coen Hofstede, Hafeez Jeofry, Felipe Napoleoni, and Wilson Sauthoff

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Short summary
We review previous research into a group of fast-flowing Antarctic ice streams, the Foundation-Patuxent-Academy System. Previously, we knew relatively little how these ice streams flow, how they interact with the ocean, what their geological history was, and how they might evolve in a warming world. By reviewing existing information on these ice streams, we identify the future research needed to determine how they function, and their potential contribution to global sea level rise.
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