Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-710
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-710
15 Apr 2025
 | 15 Apr 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

Linear Meta-Model optimization for regional climate models (LiMMo version 1.0)

Sergei Petrov, Andreas Will, and Beate Geyer

Abstract. A new tool for objective parameter tuning of regional climate models is presented. The climate model output was emulated using a linear regression approach for each grid point on a monthly mean basis (Linear Meta-Model – LiMMo). This linear approximation showed high accuracy over a 6-year period. The error norm between the Meta-Model and the observational data sets was minimized using the gradient-based, limited-memory Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno method with box constraints. The LiMMo framework was applied to the state-of-the-art regional climate model ICON-CLM, tuned to the E-OBS and HOAPS observational data sets. Different optimization objectives were explored by assigning varying weights to model variables in the error norm definition. The combination of a linear emulator with fast gradient-based optimization allows the proposed method to scale linearly with the number of model variables and parameters, facilitating the tuning of dozens of parameters simultaneously.

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Sergei Petrov, Andreas Will, and Beate Geyer

Status: open (until 10 Jun 2025)

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Sergei Petrov, Andreas Will, and Beate Geyer
Sergei Petrov, Andreas Will, and Beate Geyer

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Short summary
This study introduces a new method that helps improve the accuracy of climate models by automatically selecting the best parameters to match real-world observations. Instead of manually adjusting many parameters, the method uses a mathematical tool to find the most appropriate settings for the model. It can be especially helpful for researchers who introduce new physical parameters into climate models to assess their impact on model results and optimize them along with the old ones.
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