Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5898
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5898
04 Dec 2025
 | 04 Dec 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).

Characteristics of potential evapotranspiration and its estimation from hydrological observation in the Budyko framework

Changwu Cheng, Wenzhao Liu, Rui Chen, Zhaotao Mu, Haixiang Zhou, Xiaoyang Han, Zhi Li, and Hao Feng

Abstract. Potential evapotranspiration (EP) is one of input variables in the Budyko framework, yet the diverse estimation methods cause discrepancies in its values. This raises a question about whether there exists a kind of EP specially satisfying the Budyko framework. Based on the relationships among variables in the Budyko models and the deterministic value of EP with known mean annual precipitation and runoff, we uncover the characteristics of EP and its estimation method from hydrological observation in the Budyko framework. Accordingly, we introduce the concept of Budyko EP. The non-parametric and parametric Budyko equations correspond to the reference and the adjustable Budyko EP, respectively. For the Model Parameter Estimation Experiment catchments, the reference Budyko EP is higher in the central and southern contiguous United States and lower in the northeastern and northwestern regions. The linear conversion functions are established from the meteorological EP to the reference and optimized adjustable Budyko EP separately. When estimating actual evapotranspiration (E) by Budyko models with the same data resources, employing two conversion functions with the meteorological EP reduces the mean absolute error of E estimation by 33 % and 35 %, respectively, compared to using the optimized Budyko model parameter with the meteorological EP. Further investigation suggests that the complementary relationship for evapotranspiration is one factor affecting the expression of the region-specific conversion function. Future in-depth exploration of the spatiotemporal differences in conversion functions will advance E estimation and the applications of Budyko EP.

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Changwu Cheng, Wenzhao Liu, Rui Chen, Zhaotao Mu, Haixiang Zhou, Xiaoyang Han, Zhi Li, and Hao Feng

Status: open (until 15 Jan 2026)

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Changwu Cheng, Wenzhao Liu, Rui Chen, Zhaotao Mu, Haixiang Zhou, Xiaoyang Han, Zhi Li, and Hao Feng
Changwu Cheng, Wenzhao Liu, Rui Chen, Zhaotao Mu, Haixiang Zhou, Xiaoyang Han, Zhi Li, and Hao Feng
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Latest update: 04 Dec 2025
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Short summary
Our study defines the potential evapotranspiration specifically suited the Budyko framework and explores its use in hydrological modeling. This potential evapotranspiration is deterministic when long-term catchment rainfall and runoff are known, and its two forms are derived from the non-parametric and parametric Budyko models. Converting commonly used potential evapotranspiration into these forms greatly enhances evapotranspiration estimates and supports better assessment of water availability.
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