Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2843
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2843
28 Jul 2025
 | 28 Jul 2025

Baseflow in karst regions is significantly higher than the global average and exhibits spatial variability

Ze Yuan, Qiuwen Zhou, Yuan Li, Yuluan Zhao, and Shengtian Yang

Abstract. The distinct hydrogeological configurations of karst terrains engender fundamentally divergent baseflow regimes compared with non-karst systems. However, there is still some uncertainty in the understanding of baseflow in global karst regions due to the variability of methods and differences in natural conditions in different regions. In this study, runoff data from 1375 karst basins around the world were summarized, and graphical and digital filtering methods were used to estimate baseflow in global karst regions and to analyze their spatial differences and trends. The results show that the baseflow index of global karst areas is about 78±6.9 %, which is significantly higher than the global average baseflow index (60 %). The baseflow index of karst regions in different climatic zones also differed significantly, in which the average baseflow index of arid karst regions (82 %) was significantly higher than the average baseflow index of subtropical karst regions (77 %). Even within the same climate zone, the base flow index of different regions may also have significant differences, and the difference of some regions is even >10 %. For example, the difference in BFIs between northwestern North America and eastern North America near Hudson Bay, which are both temperate-climate karst zones, is more than 10 %. Vegetation factors reflected in primary productivity have the highest influence on baseflow in karst regions (15 %), while climatic factors (relative humidity, air temperature, etc.) have a lower influence on BFIs in karst regions (less than 5 %). From the time series trend, the global karst baseflow index shows an increasing trend, about 1.5 % from 1960 to 2015. These results help us to further understand karst hydrological processes and the response mechanism of karst hydrology under climate change.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

27 Mar 2026
Baseflow in karst regions is significantly higher than the global average and exhibits spatial variability
Ze Yuan, Qiuwen Zhou, Yuan Li, Yuluan Zhao, and Shengtian Yang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 1607–1623, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-1607-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-1607-2026, 2026
Short summary
Ze Yuan, Qiuwen Zhou, Yuan Li, Yuluan Zhao, and Shengtian Yang

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2843', Giacomo Medici, 07 Aug 2025
    • CC2: 'Reply on CC1', Qiuwen Zhou, 08 Aug 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Qiuwen Zhou, 17 Nov 2025
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2843', Anonymous Referee #1, 25 Sep 2025
    • CC3: 'Reply on RC1', Qiuwen Zhou, 13 Oct 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Qiuwen Zhou, 17 Nov 2025
  • CC4: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2843', Yang Lu, 03 Nov 2025
    • CC5: 'Reply on CC4', Qiuwen Zhou, 05 Nov 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on CC4', Qiuwen Zhou, 17 Nov 2025
  • EC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2843', Wouter Buytaert, 13 Nov 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2843', Giacomo Medici, 07 Aug 2025
    • CC2: 'Reply on CC1', Qiuwen Zhou, 08 Aug 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Qiuwen Zhou, 17 Nov 2025
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2843', Anonymous Referee #1, 25 Sep 2025
    • CC3: 'Reply on RC1', Qiuwen Zhou, 13 Oct 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Qiuwen Zhou, 17 Nov 2025
  • CC4: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2843', Yang Lu, 03 Nov 2025
    • CC5: 'Reply on CC4', Qiuwen Zhou, 05 Nov 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on CC4', Qiuwen Zhou, 17 Nov 2025
  • EC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2843', Wouter Buytaert, 13 Nov 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (05 Dec 2025) by Wouter Buytaert
AR by Qiuwen Zhou on behalf of the Authors (22 Dec 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (29 Jan 2026) by Wouter Buytaert
RR by Giacomo Medici (31 Jan 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (23 Feb 2026)
ED: Publish as is (13 Mar 2026) by Wouter Buytaert
AR by Qiuwen Zhou on behalf of the Authors (15 Mar 2026)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

27 Mar 2026
Baseflow in karst regions is significantly higher than the global average and exhibits spatial variability
Ze Yuan, Qiuwen Zhou, Yuan Li, Yuluan Zhao, and Shengtian Yang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 1607–1623, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-1607-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-1607-2026, 2026
Short summary
Ze Yuan, Qiuwen Zhou, Yuan Li, Yuluan Zhao, and Shengtian Yang
Ze Yuan, Qiuwen Zhou, Yuan Li, Yuluan Zhao, and Shengtian Yang

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Short summary
This study examines how water moves underground in karst landscapes. We analyzed 1,375 karst basins worldwide. Research findings show that the average baseflow index in these regions is 78 %, far exceeding the global average (60 %). Significant regional variations exist, influenced by vegetation and other environmental factors. Notably, karst areas show an increasing baseflow index trend over recent decades. These findings advance our understanding of karst hydrological processes.
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