Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2758
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2758
30 Jun 2025
 | 30 Jun 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Quantifying the influence of coastal flood hazards on building habitability following Hurricane Irma

Benjamin Nelson-Mercer, Tessa Swanson, Seth Guikema, and Jeremy Bricker

Abstract. Appropriate management of coastal flood risk is critical for creating resilient communities. An important part of this is estimating what buildings will become uninhabitable due to a flood event such as a tropical cyclone. To increase the accuracy of these estimations, habitability functions are developed to quantify the relationship between hydrodynamic hazards and the probability of a building becoming uninhabitable following Hurricane Irma. Hazards like maximum flood depths are determined by modeling Hurricane Irma flooding in Delft3D-FM coupled with the wave model SWAN. These modeled hazard levels are then extracted at building locations where Location Based Services (LBS) data provide information on buildings that were uninhabitable following Hurricane Irma. The developed habitability functions provide valuable insights into how different hydrodynamic parameters and regression models perform for estimating building habitability, where maximum depth is generally the best predictor of habitability. Furthermore, we find that while wooden structure habitability is significantly influenced by hazard level, concrete structure habitability is not. These findings provide novel methods for estimating coastal flooding induced building uninhabitability, enhancing how planners can prepare for floods.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Benjamin Nelson-Mercer, Tessa Swanson, Seth Guikema, and Jeremy Bricker

Status: open (until 11 Aug 2025)

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Benjamin Nelson-Mercer, Tessa Swanson, Seth Guikema, and Jeremy Bricker
Benjamin Nelson-Mercer, Tessa Swanson, Seth Guikema, and Jeremy Bricker

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Short summary
Habitability functions are developed to estimate the probability of a building becoming uninhabitable due to coastal flooding. These functions are created by combining a Hurricane Irma flood model with cell phone data showing which buildings people returned to following Irma. We find that modeled flood depth is the best predictor of building habitability. By quantifying the dependence of building habitability on flood hazards, this work improves how coastal communities prepare for flood events.
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