Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1401
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1401
22 Apr 2025
 | 22 Apr 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

Comparison of simulations from a state-of-the-art dynamic global vegetation model (LPJ-GUESS ) driven by low- and high-resolution climate data

Dmitry Otryakhin, David Martín Belda, and Almut Arneth

Abstract. Simulations of dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) are typically conducted at a spatial resolution of 0.5°, while higher-resolution simulations remain uncommon. This coarse resolution eliminates detailed orographic features and hence, associated climate variability, which are especially pronounced in mountainous regions. The impact of disregarding such variability on vegetation dynamics has not been thoroughly examined. In this study, we explore the differences in regional outcomes between the DGVM LPJ-GUESS simulations conducted at high and low spatial resolutions. Using the CHELSA algorithm, we create an elevation-informed high-resolution climate dataset for a domain encompassing the European Union and use it to perform simulations. Comparative analysis reveals significant systematic discrepancies between the two resolutions. Furthermore, we quantify the extent to which the underrepresentation of orographic climate variation affects regional predictions across the European Union.

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Dmitry Otryakhin, David Martín Belda, and Almut Arneth

Status: open (until 17 Jun 2025)

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Dmitry Otryakhin, David Martín Belda, and Almut Arneth

Data sets

ISIMIP3b-CHELSA climate input data for LPJ-GUESS D. Otryakhin and D. M. Belda https://thredds.imk-ifu.kit.edu/thredds/catalog/catalogues/luc_and_climate_catalog_ext.html

Model code and software

Software for comparison of LPJ-GUESS simulations driven by low- and high-resolution climate data D. Otryakhin and D. M. Belda https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14941305

Dmitry Otryakhin, David Martín Belda, and Almut Arneth

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Short summary
We developed a methodology for comparison of simulation results by a dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM). Using this methodology, we reveal systematic differences between high- and low-resolution DGVM simulations caused by under-representation of climate variability in the low-resolution data and poor representation of shore lines and inland water bodies. In a study area covering European Union, the differences in aggregated output variables were found to be 2 %–10 %.
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