Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-815
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-815
25 Apr 2024
 | 25 Apr 2024

Air quality modeling intercomparison and multi-scale ensemble chain for Latin America

Jorge E. Pachon, Mariel Opazo, Pablo Lichtig, Nicolas Hunneus, Idir Bouarar, Guy Brasseur, Cathy W. Y. Li, Johannes Flemming, Laurent Menut, Camilo Menares, Laura Gallardo, Michael Gauss, Mikhail Sofiev, Rostislav Kouznetsov, Julia Palamarchuk, Laura Dawidowski, Nestor Y. Rojas, Maria de Fatima Andrade, Mario E. Gavidia-Calderón, Alejandro H. Delgado Peralta, and Daniel Schuch

Abstract. A multi-scale modeling ensemble chain has been assembled as a first step towards an Air Quality forecasting system for Latin America. Two global and three regional models were tested and compared over a shared domain (120W–28W, 60S–30N) to simulate January and July of 2015. Observations from local air quality monitoring networks in Colombia, Chile, Brazil, México, Ecuador and Peru were used for model evaluation. The models generally agreed with observations in large cities such as México City and São Paulo, whereas representing smaller urban areas, such as Bogotá and Santiago, was more challenging. For instance, in Santiago, during wintertime, the simulations showed large discrepancies with observations. No single model had the best performance among pollutants and sites available. Ozone and NO2 were reproduced better than other pollutants across sites whereas SO2 was the most difficult. The ensemble, created from the median value of the individual models, was evaluated as well. In some cases, the ensemble showed better results over the individual models and mitigated the extreme over- or underestimation of certain models, demonstrating the potential to establish an analysis and forecast system for Latin America. This study identified certain limitations in the models and global emissions inventories, which should be addressed with the involvement and experience of local researchers.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

28 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Air quality modeling intercomparison and multiscale ensemble chain for Latin America
Jorge E. Pachón, Mariel A. Opazo, Pablo Lichtig, Nicolas Huneeus, Idir Bouarar, Guy Brasseur, Cathy W. Y. Li, Johannes Flemming, Laurent Menut, Camilo Menares, Laura Gallardo, Michael Gauss, Mikhail Sofiev, Rostislav Kouznetsov, Julia Palamarchuk, Andreas Uppstu, Laura Dawidowski, Nestor Y. Rojas, María de Fátima Andrade, Mario E. Gavidia-Calderón, Alejandro H. Delgado Peralta, and Daniel Schuch
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7467–7512, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7467-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7467-2024, 2024
Short summary Executive editor
Jorge E. Pachon, Mariel Opazo, Pablo Lichtig, Nicolas Hunneus, Idir Bouarar, Guy Brasseur, Cathy W. Y. Li, Johannes Flemming, Laurent Menut, Camilo Menares, Laura Gallardo, Michael Gauss, Mikhail Sofiev, Rostislav Kouznetsov, Julia Palamarchuk, Laura Dawidowski, Nestor Y. Rojas, Maria de Fatima Andrade, Mario E. Gavidia-Calderón, Alejandro H. Delgado Peralta, and Daniel Schuch

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-815', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Jun 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Jorge Pachon, 19 Jun 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-815', Anonymous Referee #2, 26 Jun 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Jorge Pachon, 28 Jun 2024

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-815', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Jun 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Jorge Pachon, 19 Jun 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-815', Anonymous Referee #2, 26 Jun 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Jorge Pachon, 28 Jun 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Jorge Pachon on behalf of the Authors (06 Aug 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (14 Aug 2024) by Jason Williams
AR by Jorge Pachon on behalf of the Authors (05 Sep 2024)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Post-review adjustments

AA: Author's adjustment | EA: Editor approval
AA by Jorge Pachon on behalf of the Authors (22 Oct 2024)   Author's adjustment   Manuscript
EA: Adjustments approved (22 Oct 2024) by Jason Williams

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

28 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Air quality modeling intercomparison and multiscale ensemble chain for Latin America
Jorge E. Pachón, Mariel A. Opazo, Pablo Lichtig, Nicolas Huneeus, Idir Bouarar, Guy Brasseur, Cathy W. Y. Li, Johannes Flemming, Laurent Menut, Camilo Menares, Laura Gallardo, Michael Gauss, Mikhail Sofiev, Rostislav Kouznetsov, Julia Palamarchuk, Andreas Uppstu, Laura Dawidowski, Nestor Y. Rojas, María de Fátima Andrade, Mario E. Gavidia-Calderón, Alejandro H. Delgado Peralta, and Daniel Schuch
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7467–7512, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7467-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7467-2024, 2024
Short summary Executive editor
Jorge E. Pachon, Mariel Opazo, Pablo Lichtig, Nicolas Hunneus, Idir Bouarar, Guy Brasseur, Cathy W. Y. Li, Johannes Flemming, Laurent Menut, Camilo Menares, Laura Gallardo, Michael Gauss, Mikhail Sofiev, Rostislav Kouznetsov, Julia Palamarchuk, Laura Dawidowski, Nestor Y. Rojas, Maria de Fatima Andrade, Mario E. Gavidia-Calderón, Alejandro H. Delgado Peralta, and Daniel Schuch

Data sets

Air Quality Networks in Latin America and the Caribbean for model evaluation Jorge E. Pachon et al. https://papila-h2020.eu/observations

Supplementary Model Dataset Jorge E. Pachon et al. https://zenodo.org/records/10934490

Model code and software

Modelling and Observation System and Analysis Tool (MOSPAT) Nicolas Huneeus and Mariel Opazo https://github.com/NeoMOSPAT/NeoMOSPAT_PAPILA

Jorge E. Pachon, Mariel Opazo, Pablo Lichtig, Nicolas Hunneus, Idir Bouarar, Guy Brasseur, Cathy W. Y. Li, Johannes Flemming, Laurent Menut, Camilo Menares, Laura Gallardo, Michael Gauss, Mikhail Sofiev, Rostislav Kouznetsov, Julia Palamarchuk, Laura Dawidowski, Nestor Y. Rojas, Maria de Fatima Andrade, Mario E. Gavidia-Calderón, Alejandro H. Delgado Peralta, and Daniel Schuch

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The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

This multi-model inter-comparison presents a state-of-the-art assessment of Latin America for the first time which is a region often ignored in air quality studies.
Short summary
Latin America (LAC) has some of the most populated urban areas in the world with high levels of air pollution. Air quality management in LAC has been traditionally focused on surveillance and building emission inventories. This study performed the first intercomparison and model evaluation in LAC with interesting and insightful findings for the region. A multi-scale modeling ensemble chain has been assembled as a first step towards an Air Quality forecasting system.