Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2913
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2913
23 Sep 2024
 | 23 Sep 2024
Status: this preprint is open for discussion.

Technical Note: A note on stabilization mechanisms of, e.g., Atlantic Ocean meridional overturning circulation

Hans van Haren

Abstract. The extent of anthropogenic influence on the Earth’s climate warrants studies of the ocean as a major player. The ocean circulation is important for transporting properties like heat, carbon and nutrients. A supposed major conduit is the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). As the AMOC is a complex nonlinear dynamical system, it is challenging to predict its potential to collapse and/or reversal of direction from a statistical viewpoint using a single parameter like sea-surface temperature or freshwater influx in numerical models. However, as is argued in this note supported by spectra from ocean observations, physical processes such as transport by sub-mesoscale eddies and turbulence-generating breaking of internal waves that are not incorporated in these models will alter such parameters, and thereby statistical analyses. This may lead to feed-back mechanisms on property gradients such as density stratification so that the AMOC may not collapse.

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Hans van Haren

Status: open (until 18 Nov 2024)

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Hans van Haren
Hans van Haren

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Short summary
The extent of mankind’s influence on Earth’s climate warrants ocean-studies. A supposed major heat-transporter is the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). As AMOC is a complex nonlinear dynamical system, mathematical models may predict its potential collapse using single parameters like surface temperature. However, physical processes such as (sub-)mesoscale eddy transport and turbulent mixing by internal wave breaking will alter the estimators, so that the AMOC may not collapse.