Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-895
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-895
13 Oct 2022
 | 13 Oct 2022

The underappreciated impact of emission source profiles on the simulation of PM2.5 components: New evidence from sensitivity analysis

Zhongwei Luo, Yan Han, Kun Hua, Yufen Zhang, Jianhui Wu, Xiaohui Bi, Qili Dai, Baoshuang Liu, Yang Chen, Xin Long, and Yinchang Feng

Abstract. The chemical transport model (CTM) is an essential tool for air quality prediction and management, widely used in air pollution control and health risk assessment. However, the current models do not perform very well in simulating PM2.5 components. Studies suggested that the uncertainties of model chemical mechanism, source emission inventory and meteorological field can cause inaccurate simulation results. Still, the emission source profile of PM2.5 has not been fully taken into account in current numerical simulation. This study aims to answer (1) Whether the variation of source profile adopted in chemical transport models (CTMs) has an impact on the simulation of PM2.5 chemical components? (2) How much does it impact? (3) How does the impact work? Based on the characteristics and variation rules of chemical components in typical PM2.5 sources, different simulation scenarios were designed and the sensitivity of components simulation results to PM2.5 sources profile was explored. Our findings showed that the influence of source profile changes on simulated PM2.5 concentration was insignificant, but its impact on PM2.5 components could not be ignored. The variations of simulated components ranged from 8 % to 167 % under selected different source profiles, and simulation results of some components were sensitive to the adopted PM2.5 source profile in CTMs. These influences are connected to the chemical mechanisms of the model since the variation of species allocations in emission sources directly affected the thermodynamic equilibrium system. We also found that the perturbation of the PM2.5 source profile caused the variation of simulated gaseous pollutants, which indirectly indicated that the perturbation of the source profile affected the simulation of secondary PM2.5 components. Given the vital role of air quality simulation in environment management and health risk assessment, the representativeness and timeliness of source profile should be considered.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

22 Nov 2023
The effect of emission source chemical profiles on simulated PM2.5 components: sensitivity analysis with the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system version 5.0.2
Zhongwei Luo, Yan Han, Kun Hua, Yufen Zhang, Jianhui Wu, Xiaohui Bi, Qili Dai, Baoshuang Liu, Yang Chen, Xin Long, and Yinchang Feng
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 6757–6771, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6757-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6757-2023, 2023
Short summary
Zhongwei Luo, Yan Han, Kun Hua, Yufen Zhang, Jianhui Wu, Xiaohui Bi, Qili Dai, Baoshuang Liu, Yang Chen, Xin Long, and Yinchang Feng

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-895', Anonymous Referee #1, 25 Oct 2022
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Yinchang Feng, 21 Jan 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-895', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Nov 2022
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Yinchang Feng, 21 Jan 2023
  • CEC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-895', Astrid Kerkweg, 11 Nov 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on CEC1', Yinchang Feng, 21 Jan 2023

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-895', Anonymous Referee #1, 25 Oct 2022
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Yinchang Feng, 21 Jan 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-895', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Nov 2022
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Yinchang Feng, 21 Jan 2023
  • CEC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-895', Astrid Kerkweg, 11 Nov 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on CEC1', Yinchang Feng, 21 Jan 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Yinchang Feng on behalf of the Authors (17 Feb 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (22 Feb 2023) by Klaus Klingmüller
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (23 Feb 2023)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (01 Mar 2023)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (17 Mar 2023) by Klaus Klingmüller
AR by Yinchang Feng on behalf of the Authors (27 Apr 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 May 2023) by Klaus Klingmüller
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (07 Jul 2023)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (25 Jul 2023) by Klaus Klingmüller
AR by Yinchang Feng on behalf of the Authors (04 Sep 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (21 Sep 2023) by Klaus Klingmüller
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (22 Sep 2023)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (23 Sep 2023)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (06 Oct 2023) by Klaus Klingmüller
AR by Yinchang Feng on behalf of the Authors (08 Oct 2023)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

22 Nov 2023
The effect of emission source chemical profiles on simulated PM2.5 components: sensitivity analysis with the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system version 5.0.2
Zhongwei Luo, Yan Han, Kun Hua, Yufen Zhang, Jianhui Wu, Xiaohui Bi, Qili Dai, Baoshuang Liu, Yang Chen, Xin Long, and Yinchang Feng
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 6757–6771, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6757-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6757-2023, 2023
Short summary
Zhongwei Luo, Yan Han, Kun Hua, Yufen Zhang, Jianhui Wu, Xiaohui Bi, Qili Dai, Baoshuang Liu, Yang Chen, Xin Long, and Yinchang Feng
Zhongwei Luo, Yan Han, Kun Hua, Yufen Zhang, Jianhui Wu, Xiaohui Bi, Qili Dai, Baoshuang Liu, Yang Chen, Xin Long, and Yinchang Feng

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Short summary
This study explores the variation of source profile adopted in chemical transport models (CTMs) have an impact on the simulated results of chemical components in PM2.5 based on sensitivity analysis. The impact on PM2.5 components could not be ignored and the influence can be transmitted and linked among components. The representativeness and timeliness of the source profile should be paid enough attention in air quality simulation.