Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-48
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-48
 
27 Apr 2022
27 Apr 2022

Extreme wet-cold compound events investigation under climate change in Greece

Iason Markantonis1,2, Diamando Vlachogiannis1, Athanasios Sfetsos1, and Ioannis Kioutsioukis2 Iason Markantonis et al.
  • 1Environmental Research Laboratory, NCSR “Demokritos”, 15341 Agia Paraskevi, Greece
  • 2University of Patras, Department of Physics, University Campus 26504 Rio, Patras, Greece

Abstract. This paper aims to study wet-cold compound events (WCCEs) over Greece for the wet and cold season November–April. WCCEs are divided in two different compound events (TX-RR) and (TN-RR) and two different approaches using fixed (RR over 20 mm/day and Temperature under 0 °C) and percentile (RR over 95th and Temperature under 5th) thresholds. Observational data from the Hellenic National Meteorology Service (HNMS) and simulation data from reanalysis and EUROCORDEX models were used in the study for the historical period 1980–2004. Simulation datasets from projection models were employed for the near future period (2025–2049) to study the impact of climate change on the occurrence of WCCEs under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Following data processing and validation of the models, the potential changes in the distribution of WCCEs in the future were investigated based on the projected and historical simulations. WCCEs determined by fixed thresholds were mostly found over high altitudes with a future tendency to reduce particularly under RCP 8.5. On the other hand, WCCEs obtained with percentile thresholds, were distributed mostly in Eastern Greece and Crete while their changes differed significantly among models.

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

02 Nov 2022
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece
Iason Markantonis, Diamando Vlachogiannis, Athanasios Sfetsos, and Ioannis Kioutsioukis
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1491–1504, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1491-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1491-2022, 2022
Short summary

Iason Markantonis et al.

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-48', Anonymous Referee #1, 17 May 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Iason Markantonis, 07 Aug 2022
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-48', Anonymous Referee #2, 09 Jun 2022
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Iason Markantonis, 07 Aug 2022

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-48', Anonymous Referee #1, 17 May 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Iason Markantonis, 07 Aug 2022
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-48', Anonymous Referee #2, 09 Jun 2022
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Iason Markantonis, 07 Aug 2022

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (10 Aug 2022) by Zhenghui Xie
AR by Iason Markantonis on behalf of the Authors (15 Aug 2022)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (22 Aug 2022) by Zhenghui Xie
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (24 Aug 2022)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (27 Aug 2022)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (29 Aug 2022) by Zhenghui Xie
AR by Iason Markantonis on behalf of the Authors (29 Sep 2022)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (18 Oct 2022) by Zhenghui Xie
AR by Iason Markantonis on behalf of the Authors (18 Oct 2022)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (19 Oct 2022) by Zhenghui Xie
AR by Iason Markantonis on behalf of the Authors (19 Oct 2022)  Author's response    Manuscript

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

02 Nov 2022
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece
Iason Markantonis, Diamando Vlachogiannis, Athanasios Sfetsos, and Ioannis Kioutsioukis
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1491–1504, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1491-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1491-2022, 2022
Short summary

Iason Markantonis et al.

Iason Markantonis et al.

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The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

Short summary
This work focuses on the study of daily wet-cold compound events in Greece in the period November–April. We firstly study the historic period 1980–2004 in which we validate projection models with observations. Then we compare the model results with future period 2025–2049 rcp4.5 and rcp8.5 scenarios. The aim of the study is to calculae the probability of the events and to locate the areas where those are higher and how the probabilities will change at the future.