Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4426
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4426
31 Jul 2026
 | 31 Jul 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Investigating the cloud liquid water and droplet concentration relationship across cloud morphologies with machine learning

Andrew Geiss, Johannes Mรผlmenstรคdt, Adam C. Varble, Matthew W. Christensen, and Heng Xiao

Abstract. The relationship between cloud droplet number concentration (Nd) and cloud liquid water path (๐“›) is investigated in the context of detailed information about cloud morphology derived from self-supervised machine learning (ML) interpretation of satellite imagery over the North Atlantic ocean. While different cloud morphologies occupy distinct regions in the ๐“›-Nd phase space, the “inverted-V” relationship observed between ๐“› and Nd does not arise as a result of their distribution in this space, and most cloud morphologies independently exhibit the inverted-V pattern to some degree. A novel approach to investigate this relationship is demonstrated using continuous vector space image embedding representations of cloud morphology produced by the self-supervised ML. Analysis of non-linear regression between these cloud morphology representations, Nd, and ๐“› indicates that while cloud morphology information can explain most of the variance in ๐“› between cloud scenes, the portion of ๐“› variance that can be explained by Nd is mostly independent of cloud morphology and explains the inverted-V pattern.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Andrew Geiss, Johannes Mรผlmenstรคdt, Adam C. Varble, Matthew W. Christensen, and Heng Xiao

Status: open (until 11 Sep 2026)

Comment types: AC โ€“ author | RC โ€“ referee | CC โ€“ community | EC โ€“ editor | CEC โ€“ chief editor | : Report abuse
Andrew Geiss, Johannes Mรผlmenstรคdt, Adam C. Varble, Matthew W. Christensen, and Heng Xiao

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Code and Data Supplement for: "Investigating the cloud liquid water and droplet concentration relationship across cloud morphologies with machine learning" Andrew Geiss https://zenodo.org/records/18237664

Andrew Geiss, Johannes Mรผlmenstรคdt, Adam C. Varble, Matthew W. Christensen, and Heng Xiao

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Short summary
Cloud droplet and liquid water concentrations change in response to atmospheric aerosols, affecting cloud brightness, lifetime, and ultimately the Earth's climate. This study examines how the relationship between droplet number and liquid water concentrations varies by cloud type. We find that cloud type can be used to explain most variance in liquid water between satellite-observed cloud scenes, but the influence of droplet concentration on water content is largely independent of cloud type.
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