Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1126
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1126
17 Jun 2026
 | 17 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

A neural-process framework for stochastic simulation of spatially dependent geoscientific fields

Jian Wang, Renguang Zuo, Dazheng Huang, and Mingang Liu

Abstract. Geostatistical simulation (e.g., sequential Gaussian simulation, SGSim) provides an effective framework for quantifying variability of geoscientific variables and supporting risk-informed decision-making in various scenarios. These approaches are theoretically well grounded under assumptions such as stationarity and Gaussianity, and their practical implementation typically involves explicit variogram modeling and repeated neighborhood-based computations, which may become demanding in large-scale or high-dimensional settings. Recently, data-driven modeling strategies have gained increasing attention across scientific disciplines, offering flexible mechanisms for learning spatial dependence structures directly from data. This development motivates the exploration of learning-based alternatives for stochastic simulation. In this paper, artificial neural network-based models were constructed to address the above issues. A series of simulation experiments was generated to test and validate the proposed model. Our results suggest that: (1) spatial dependence can be captured by two complementary strategies, using neighboring attributes (e.g., spatial lag features) and encoding relative positions (e.g., MEM); (2) within our experiments, the proposed data-driven model appears less sensitive to non-Gaussianity and non-stationarity; and (3) the model provides a feasible complement to SGSim by reproducing key statistics (histogram, variogram) with favorable computational cost and flexible model configuration, particularly for large conditioning neighborhoods.

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Jian Wang, Renguang Zuo, Dazheng Huang, and Mingang Liu

Status: open (until 12 Aug 2026)

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Jian Wang, Renguang Zuo, Dazheng Huang, and Mingang Liu
Jian Wang, Renguang Zuo, Dazheng Huang, and Mingang Liu
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Short summary
Geostatistical simulation is widely used to quantify uncertainty, but it can be demanding for large or complex datasets. We explored a data-driven approach to learn spatial patterns for simulation. Through several experiments, we show that the model can reproduce key statistical properties while being less sensitive to non-normal data and changing spatial conditions. The method provides a flexible complement to traditional simulation, especially when many nearby data points are used.
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