Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5407
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5407
19 Dec 2025
 | 19 Dec 2025

Modelling wind farm effects in HARMONIE-AROME (cycle 43.2.2) – part 2: Wind turbine database and application to Europe

Jana Fischereit, Bjarke T. E. Olsen, Marc Imberger, Henrik Vedel, Kristian H. Møller, Andrea N. Hahmann, and Xiaoli Guo Larsén

Abstract. Wind farm parameterizations (WFPs) are used to include the effects of operating wind farms on near-surface weather variables simulated by weather forecasting. In the first part of this series of papers, we implemented and evaluated two WPFs in the HARMONIE-AROME numerical weather prediction model (Fischereit et al., 2024). In this second part, we apply them in HARMONIE-AROME to perform sequential weather forecasts for Northern Europe with a lead time of 48 hours every 12 hours for two separate months. Combined, the selected summer and winter months are shown to represent the 30-year wind climate (wind speed, wind direction, and stability) in the forecast area reasonably well.

A European wind turbine database is constructed as an input for the forecasts by combining eight different sources, harmonizing and filling gaps in the combined data set, filling missing data using random forest-based models, and associating wind farm information with individual turbines using a developed wind farm splitting algorithm. The final product and the algorithms are published for open access.

We included scenarios for the forecasts with both on- and offshore turbines, as well as only offshore turbines, and analyzed the impact of wind farms on the hub height wind and near-surface temperature forecast. The forecasts using the WFPs show strong reductions in hub height wind speed near the wind farms. Wind forecast using the WFP of Fitch et al. (2012) compares best with observations for all sites, especially for mast and lidar sites close to wind farms. Onshore turbines have a nonnegligible wake effect both in terms of strength and area, and must, therefore, be included for accurate wind forecasting. The differences in wind speed between forecasts ignoring wind farms and with a WFP included are statistically significant for many on- and offshore farms. The impact of wind farms on near-surface temperature is small on average over the 2 months, but can be considerable during certain periods. The two WFPs cause opposing signs of impact, i.e., warming versus cooling during nighttime.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

02 Sep 2026
Modelling wind farm effects in HARMONIE-AROME (cycle 43.2.2) – Part 2: wind turbine database and application to Europe
Jana Fischereit, Bjarke T. E. Olsen, Marc Imberger, Henrik Vedel, Kristian H. Møller, Andrea N. Hahmann, and Xiaoli Guo Larsén
Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 8115–8147, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-8115-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-8115-2026, 2026
Short summary
Jana Fischereit, Bjarke T. E. Olsen, Marc Imberger, Henrik Vedel, Kristian H. Møller, Andrea N. Hahmann, and Xiaoli Guo Larsén

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-5407', Anonymous Referee #1, 10 Feb 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1 and RC2', Jana Fischereit, 20 Apr 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-5407', Anonymous Referee #2, 25 Feb 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1 and RC2', Jana Fischereit, 20 Apr 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1 and RC2', Jana Fischereit, 20 Apr 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Jana Fischereit on behalf of the Authors (20 Apr 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (21 Apr 2026) by Jinkyu Hong
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (02 May 2026) by Jinkyu Hong
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (15 May 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (03 Jul 2026)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (05 Jul 2026) by Jinkyu Hong
AR by Jana Fischereit on behalf of the Authors (13 Jul 2026)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-5407', Anonymous Referee #1, 10 Feb 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1 and RC2', Jana Fischereit, 20 Apr 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-5407', Anonymous Referee #2, 25 Feb 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1 and RC2', Jana Fischereit, 20 Apr 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1 and RC2', Jana Fischereit, 20 Apr 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Jana Fischereit on behalf of the Authors (20 Apr 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (21 Apr 2026) by Jinkyu Hong
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (02 May 2026) by Jinkyu Hong
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (15 May 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (03 Jul 2026)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (05 Jul 2026) by Jinkyu Hong
AR by Jana Fischereit on behalf of the Authors (13 Jul 2026)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

02 Sep 2026
Modelling wind farm effects in HARMONIE-AROME (cycle 43.2.2) – Part 2: wind turbine database and application to Europe
Jana Fischereit, Bjarke T. E. Olsen, Marc Imberger, Henrik Vedel, Kristian H. Møller, Andrea N. Hahmann, and Xiaoli Guo Larsén
Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 8115–8147, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-8115-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-8115-2026, 2026
Short summary
Jana Fischereit, Bjarke T. E. Olsen, Marc Imberger, Henrik Vedel, Kristian H. Møller, Andrea N. Hahmann, and Xiaoli Guo Larsén
Jana Fischereit, Bjarke T. E. Olsen, Marc Imberger, Henrik Vedel, Kristian H. Møller, Andrea N. Hahmann, and Xiaoli Guo Larsén

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Latest update: 15 Sep 2026
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Short summary
We evaluated how operating wind farms influence the atmosphere in numerical weather prediction using two wind farm parameterizations in the HARMONIE-AROME model, applied by over 10 European weather services. Accurate yield forecasts require including both onshore and offshore turbines. Wind turbines slightly alter near-surface temperature (<1 K on average). We also present an open-access European wind turbine dataset combining multiple data sources.
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