Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4475
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4475
28 Oct 2025
 | 28 Oct 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

copan:LPJmL: A new hybrid modelling framework for dynamic land use and agricultural management

Jannes Breier, Luana Schwarz, Hannah Prawitz, Werner von Bloh, Christoph Müller, Stephen Björn Wirth, Max Bechthold, Dieter Gerten, and Jonathan F. Donges

Abstract. Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) are established in environmental and agricultural sciences for many purposes, e.g., modelling plant growth and productivity, water and carbon cycles, and biosphere-climate interactions. Nevertheless, DGVMs are still rather limited in terms of simulating mutual interactions between biospheric and human processes. While DGVMs such as the Lund Potsdam Jena managed Land (LPJmL) model have been successfully connected to Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs), the model couplings often remain loose and static over the simulation period. The copan:LPJmL modelling framework is an extension of the copan:CORE framework for integrated and dynamic human-Earth system modelling, and addresses this issue by integrating LPJmL via a new interface, consisting of an LPJmL coupling library and a Python library pycoupler, which together enable LPJmL inputs and outputs to be coupled in copan:LPJmL during the simulation period. It uses the copan:CORE entities and integrates the coupled data into the World (simulation space as a whole) and the (grid) Cell entity, allowing other entities such as Individuals, e.g., for agent-based modelling (ABM), to access them. Besides ABM, this framework allows for a broad range of modelling approaches to be represented with copan:LPJmL, of which we introduce three examples: (1) The model of Integrated Social-Ecological Resilient Land Systems (InSEEDS), which uses a classical ABM approach to model management decisions by farmers, (2) an adaption of an established crop calendar model (Crop Calendar), and (3) a novel Large Language Model (LLM)-driven ABM approach (LLM Fertilization).

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Geoscientific model development.

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Jannes Breier, Luana Schwarz, Hannah Prawitz, Werner von Bloh, Christoph Müller, Stephen Björn Wirth, Max Bechthold, Dieter Gerten, and Jonathan F. Donges

Status: open (until 23 Dec 2025)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
Jannes Breier, Luana Schwarz, Hannah Prawitz, Werner von Bloh, Christoph Müller, Stephen Björn Wirth, Max Bechthold, Dieter Gerten, and Jonathan F. Donges

Data sets

Data for GMD submission "copan:LPJmL: A new hybrid modelling framework for dynamic land use and agricul549 tural management" J. Breier and H. Prawitz https://zenodo.org/records/17054847

Model code and software

LPJmL for InSEEDS and further copan:LPJmL models S. Schaphoff et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17036653

pycoupler: dynamic model coupling of LPJmL, J. Breier and W. von Bloh https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17036733

Example models of land management based on copan:LPJmL J. Breier et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17037004

pycopancore: Reference implementation of the copan:CORE World-Earth modelling framework J. Breier et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14938316

Model of integrated social-ecological resilient land systems (InSEEDS) J. Breier et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17037107

copan:LPJmL, an advanced World-Earth modeling framework ex559 tending copan:CORE, integrating LPJmL as the Earth system interface for comprehensive social-ecological simulations J. Breier et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17036693

Jannes Breier, Luana Schwarz, Hannah Prawitz, Werner von Bloh, Christoph Müller, Stephen Björn Wirth, Max Bechthold, Dieter Gerten, and Jonathan F. Donges
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Latest update: 28 Oct 2025
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Short summary
We present a new modelling framework that links global vegetation and agricultural modelling with human decision-making processes in an integrated simulation approach. This makes it possible to explore how farming practices and environmental changes influence each other over time. By combining climate, land use, and social dynamics in one system, the framework opens new ways to study food security, climate adaptation strategies, and long-term impacts.
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