Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1752
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1752
25 Apr 2025
 | 25 Apr 2025

Precipitation, Moisture Sources and Transport Pathways associated with Summertime North Atlantic Deep Cyclones

Rikke Stoffels, Imme Benedict, Lukas Papritz, Frank Selten, and Chris Weijenborg

Abstract. Extratropical cyclones are essential for redistributing moisture from lower latitudes to the poles, and are known for their ability to produce (extreme) precipitation. While wintertime extratropical cyclones have been studied in great detail, little is known about these systems in summer. Therefore, the objective of this study is to improve our understanding of how summertime extratropical cyclones shape the characteristics of the water cycle, focusing on their moisture sources and the transport of moisture to cyclone centers. For this purpose, 8-day backward trajectories are calculated for all air parcels in the vicinity of cyclone centers, for a subset of the most intense summertime cyclones over the North Atlantic. Subsequently, moisture uptakes along the trajectories of precipitating air parcels are identified using the moisture source diagnostic WaterSip. Using this approach, it is found that the bulk of the precipitation associated with summertime cyclones falls close to the cyclone center in the warm conveyor belt (WCB) and along the fronts, mainly during the cyclone’s intensification phase. The origin of this moisture correspond to areas of high ocean evaporation, with significant hotspots on the warm side of the Gulf Stream Front. In addition, some continental sources are found, especially for cyclones in the Labrador Sea. Moisture uptake occurs primarily in regions where the strong SST gradient induces intense ocean evaporation and during cold-air advection within the cyclone’s cold sector, where oceanic evaporation is enhanced due to the strong air-sea temperature contrast. The moisture accumulated in the cold sector of the cyclone does not necessarily contribute to precipitation in its own center, but it can act as a source of moisture for a subsequent cyclone. As cyclones mature, the dominant moisture sources shift from remote regions to more localized sources, but the atmospheric residence time of moisture of about four days remains approximately the same throughout the cyclone life cycle. This is because the decrease in source distance is compensated by weaker winds and less strong convergence. Overall, these results are fairly similar to those found in a previous study for winter cyclones, although in winter there is more moisture exchange between primary and secondary cyclones, and stronger vertical ascent in the WCB. Summer cyclones, on the other hand, are distinguished by their greater moisture supply from continental sources, and the significant influence from cyclones of tropical origin undergoing extratropical transition.

Competing interests: One of the co-authors is a member of the editorial board of Weather and Climate Dynamics. The authors declare that they have no other conflict of interest.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

09 Dec 2025
Precipitation, moisture sources and transport pathways associated with summertime North Atlantic deep cyclones
Rikke Stoffels, Imme Benedict, Lukas Papritz, Frank Selten, and Chris Weijenborg
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1743–1768, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1743-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1743-2025, 2025
Short summary
Rikke Stoffels, Imme Benedict, Lukas Papritz, Frank Selten, and Chris Weijenborg

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1752', Helen Dacre, 06 May 2025
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1752', Luis Gimeno, 13 May 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1752', Anonymous Referee #2, 16 Jun 2025
  • AC1: 'Final response', Rikke Stoffels, 11 Jul 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1752', Helen Dacre, 06 May 2025
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1752', Luis Gimeno, 13 May 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1752', Anonymous Referee #2, 16 Jun 2025
  • AC1: 'Final response', Rikke Stoffels, 11 Jul 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Rikke Stoffels on behalf of the Authors (14 Sep 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (19 Sep 2025) by Juliane Schwendike
RR by Helen Dacre (07 Oct 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (11 Oct 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (12 Oct 2025) by Juliane Schwendike
AR by Rikke Stoffels on behalf of the Authors (21 Oct 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (29 Oct 2025) by Juliane Schwendike
AR by Rikke Stoffels on behalf of the Authors (05 Nov 2025)

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

09 Dec 2025
Precipitation, moisture sources and transport pathways associated with summertime North Atlantic deep cyclones
Rikke Stoffels, Imme Benedict, Lukas Papritz, Frank Selten, and Chris Weijenborg
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1743–1768, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1743-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1743-2025, 2025
Short summary
Rikke Stoffels, Imme Benedict, Lukas Papritz, Frank Selten, and Chris Weijenborg
Rikke Stoffels, Imme Benedict, Lukas Papritz, Frank Selten, and Chris Weijenborg

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Short summary
Summertime North Atlantic storms bring heavy rainfall, especially near their centers and along their fronts. By tracking precipitating air parcels back in time we find that the moisture comes from areas of strong ocean evaporation, with hotspots in the Gulf Stream region. We also find that sometimes evaporation in a previous storm can contribute to rainfall in the next. Unlike in winter, summer storms also draw moisture from land, and their properties are partly shaped by former tropical storms.
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