Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1698
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1698
17 Apr 2025
 | 17 Apr 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Hillslope-Torrential Hazard Cascades in Tropical Mountains

Maria Isabel Arango-Carmona, Paul Voit, Marcel Hürlimann, Edier Aristizábal, and Oliver Korup

Abstract. Torrential hazards refer to the spectrum of water-sediment flows that include debris flows, debris floods, hyperconcentrated flows, and flash floods. These processes often occur in cascading sequences with landslides and have been highly destructive in tropical and humid subtropical mountains, particularly. We compiled a database of 22 cascade events from 2009 to 2024 and analyzed topographic, sediment and the intensity and extremity of both antecedent and triggering rainfall to identify common traits of these events. The results showed that only a few cases were linked to the most extreme rainfall recorded, suggesting that other controls, such as sediment availability, may be needed for initiating hazard cascades. Clustering analysis revealed that regions with steeper slopes and finer soils experienced hazard cascades even under lower-intensity rainfall, whereas gentler slopes with coarser material required more extreme triggering rainfall. Cascades triggered by both earthquakes and rainfall showed that these triggers can interact across time, such as a rainy season preceding an earthquake or vice versa, or even simultaneously, highlighting the susceptibility of tectonically active tropical regions to cascading hazards. Our findings highlight the importance of prioritizing hazard assessment and risk reduction strategies in tropical mountains, especially in underreported areas such as Africa.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Maria Isabel Arango-Carmona, Paul Voit, Marcel Hürlimann, Edier Aristizábal, and Oliver Korup

Status: open (until 07 Jun 2025)

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Maria Isabel Arango-Carmona, Paul Voit, Marcel Hürlimann, Edier Aristizábal, and Oliver Korup
Maria Isabel Arango-Carmona, Paul Voit, Marcel Hürlimann, Edier Aristizábal, and Oliver Korup

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Short summary
We studied 22 cascading landslide and torrential events in tropical mountains to understand how rainfall, slopes, and soil types interact to trigger them. We found that extreme rainfall alone is not always the cause, but long wet periods and sediment type also play a role. Our findings can help improve warning systems and reduce disaster risks in vulnerable regions.
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