Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-579
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-579
25 Apr 2024
 | 25 Apr 2024

A new dunetracking tool to support input parameter selection and uncertainty analyses using a Monte Carlo approach

Julius Reich and Axel Winterscheid

Abstract. Precise and reliable information about bedforms, regarding geometry and dynamics, is relevant for many applications – like ensuring safe conditions for navigation along the waterways, parameterizing the roughness of the riverbed in numerical models, or improving bedload measurement and monitoring techniques. There are many so-called dunetracking tools to extract this information from bathymetrical data. However, most of these tools require the setting of various input parameters, which in turn influence the resulting bedform characteristics. How to set the values for these parameters and what influence they have on the calculations has not yet been comprehensively investigated. This is why we introduce a new dunetracking tool, which is able to quantify the influence of varying input parameter settings by performing a Monte Carlo Simulation. The core of the tool is a combination of the two existing applications Bedforms-ATM (Guitierrez, 2018) and RhenoBT (Frings et al., 2012), which have been extended by adding additional features. A wavelet analysis has been adapted from Bedforms-ATM while a zerocrossing procedure and a cross correlation analysis have been implemented based on RhenoBT. The combination of both tools enables a more accurate and sound procedure, as the results of the first step are required input parameters in the second step. By performing a Monte Carlo Simulation, comprehensive sensitivity analyses can be carried out and the possible range of results is revealed. At the same time, the high degree of automation allows the processing of large amounts of data. By applying the tool to a test dataset, it was found that bedform parameters react with different sensitivity to varying input parameter settings. Bedform lengths appeared to be more sensitive (uncertainties up to 50 % were identified) than bedform heights. The setting of a window size in the zerocrossing procedure (especially for the upper layer of bedforms in case secondary bedforms are present) was identified to be the most decisive input parameter. Here, however, the wavelet analysis offers orientation by providing a range of plausible input window sizes and thus allows a reduction of uncertainties. By choosing values outside this range, divergence behavior could be observed for several resulting bedform parameters. Concurrently, the time interval between two successive measurements has proven to have a significant influence on the determination of bedform dynamics. For the test dataset, the faster migrating secondary bedforms were no longer traceable for intervals longer than two hours. At the same time, they contributed to up to 90 % of the total bedload transport, highlighting the need for measurements in high temporal resolution in order to avoid a severe underestimation.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

07 Feb 2025
Investigating uncertainty and parameter sensitivity in bedform analysis by using a Monte Carlo approach
Julius Reich and Axel Winterscheid
Earth Surf. Dynam., 13, 191–217, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-191-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-191-2025, 2025
Short summary
Julius Reich and Axel Winterscheid

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-579', Anonymous Referee #1, 30 Apr 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-579', Anonymous Referee #2, 19 May 2024
  • AC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-579', Julius Reich, 27 May 2024

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-579', Anonymous Referee #1, 30 Apr 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-579', Anonymous Referee #2, 19 May 2024
  • AC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-579', Julius Reich, 27 May 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Julius Reich on behalf of the Authors (16 Aug 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (29 Aug 2024) by Rebecca Hodge
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (06 Sep 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (20 Sep 2024)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (11 Oct 2024) by Rebecca Hodge
AR by Julius Reich on behalf of the Authors (21 Oct 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (08 Nov 2024) by Rebecca Hodge
ED: Publish as is (15 Nov 2024) by Tom Coulthard (Editor)
AR by Julius Reich on behalf of the Authors (22 Nov 2024)

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

07 Feb 2025
Investigating uncertainty and parameter sensitivity in bedform analysis by using a Monte Carlo approach
Julius Reich and Axel Winterscheid
Earth Surf. Dynam., 13, 191–217, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-191-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-191-2025, 2025
Short summary
Julius Reich and Axel Winterscheid

Model code and software

Software code (incl. test dataset) Julius Reich and Axel Winterscheid https://github.com/JRbfg/DTMCS

Julius Reich and Axel Winterscheid

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Short summary
Analysing the geometry and the dynamics of riverine bedforms (so-called dunetracking) is important for various fields of application and contributes to a sound and efficient river and sediment management. We developed a new tool, which enables a robust estimation of bedform characteristics and with which comprehensive sensitivity analyses can be carried out. Using a test dataset, we show that the selection of input parameters of dunetracking tools can have a significant impact on the results.
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