Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3915
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3915
20 Dec 2024
 | 20 Dec 2024
Status: this preprint is open for discussion.

Finite-size local dimension as a tool for extracting geometrical properties of attractors of dynamical systems

Martin Bonte and Stéphane Vannitsem

Abstract. Local dimension computed using Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is usually used as a tool infer dynamical properties of a given state ζ of the chaotic attractor of the system. The dimension computed in this way is also known as the pointwise dimension in dynamical systems literature, and is defined using a limit for infinitely small neighborhood in the phase space around ζ. Since it is numerically impossible to achieve such limit, and because dynamical systems theory predicts that this local dimension is almost constant over the attractor, understanding the properties of this tool for a finite scale R is crucial. We show that the dimension can considerably depend on R, and this view differs from the usual one in geophysics literature, where it is often considered that there is one dimension for a given dynamical state or process. We also systematically assess the reliability of the computed dimension given the number of points to compute it.

This interpretation of the R-dependence of the local dimension is illustrated on the Lorenz 63 system for ρ = 28, but also in the intermittent case ρ = 166.5. The latter case shows how the dimension can be used to infer some geometrical properties of the attractor in phase space. The Lorenz 96 system with n = 50 dimensions is also used as a higher dimension example. A dataset of radar images of precipitation (the RADCLIM dataset) is finally considered, with the goal of relating the computed dimension to the (un)stability of a given rain field.

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Martin Bonte and Stéphane Vannitsem

Status: open (until 14 Feb 2025)

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Martin Bonte and Stéphane Vannitsem
Martin Bonte and Stéphane Vannitsem
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Short summary
In recent years, there has been more and more floods due to intense precipitation, such as the July 2021 event in Belgium. Predicting precipitation is a difficult task, even for the next hours. This study focuses on a tool to assess whether a given situation is stable or not (i.e. is likely to stay as it is or could evolve in an unpredictable manner).