Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2909
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2909
15 Oct 2024
 | 15 Oct 2024

Controls on spatial and temporal variability of soil moisture across a heterogeneous boreal forest landscape

Francesco Zignol, William Lidberg, Caroline Greiser, Johannes Larson, Raúl Hoffrén, and Anneli M. Ågren

Abstract. In the light of climate change and biodiversity loss, modeling and mapping soil moisture at high spatiotemporal resolution is increasingly crucial for a wide range of applications in Earth and environmental sciences, particularly in areas like boreal forests where comprehensive soil moisture datasets are scarce. Soil moisture, though a small fraction of Earth’s water, plays a fundamental role in terrestrial ecosystem dynamics, influencing meteorological processes, plant health, soil biogeochemistry, groundwater fluctuations, and nutrient exchanges at the land-atmosphere interface. However, understanding and modeling soil moisture dynamics is extremely complex due to the non-linear interplay of numerous physical and biological processes, the large number of drivers involved, and the wide range of spatial and temporal scales at play. Here, we focused on a boreal forest landscape in northern Sweden, where we monitored surface soil moisture with dataloggers at 82 locations during the 2022 vegetation period. We described spatial patterns and temporal fluctuations of soil moisture, we explored the relationships between the observed variations in soil moisture and a vast array of environmental and meteorological factors from multiple sources at varying spatial resolutions and temporal scales, and we tested how these relationships changed over time. Soil properties, topographical features, vegetation characteristics, and land use/land cover were all important contributors of spatial variations in soil moisture, suggesting that current soil moisture maps primarily relying on terrain indices could benefit from integrating this diverse range of information. Moreover, different spatial resolutions and user-defined thresholds of these indices largely affected the performance of the predictions, indicating that topographic proxies for soil moisture should be evaluated for the specific area of interest. Hydrological and meteorological conditions over five to seven days preceding soil moisture measurements were essential in explaining daily soil moisture fluctuations, and influenced the predominant mechanisms governing the spatial distribution of soil moisture. Our findings contribute to advancing physically based land surface and hydrological models, developing machine learning models for predicting spatiotemporal variability in soil moisture, and ultimately generating digital dynamic soil moisture maps for forest management and nature conservation.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

21 Oct 2025
Controls on spatial and temporal variability of soil moisture across a heterogeneous boreal forest landscape
Francesco Zignol, William Lidberg, Caroline Greiser, Johannes Larson, Raúl Hoffrén, and Anneli M. Ågren
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 5493–5513, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5493-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5493-2025, 2025
Short summary
Francesco Zignol, William Lidberg, Caroline Greiser, Johannes Larson, Raúl Hoffrén, and Anneli M. Ågren

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2909', Anonymous Referee #1, 27 Nov 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Francesco Zignol, 17 Feb 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2909', Anonymous Referee #2, 03 Dec 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Francesco Zignol, 17 Feb 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2909', Anonymous Referee #1, 27 Nov 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Francesco Zignol, 17 Feb 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2909', Anonymous Referee #2, 03 Dec 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Francesco Zignol, 17 Feb 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (18 Feb 2025) by Elena Toth
AR by Francesco Zignol on behalf of the Authors (16 Apr 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (29 Apr 2025) by Elena Toth
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (19 May 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (06 Jun 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (12 Jun 2025) by Elena Toth
AR by Francesco Zignol on behalf of the Authors (16 Jun 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (17 Jun 2025) by Elena Toth
AR by Francesco Zignol on behalf of the Authors (17 Jun 2025)

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

21 Oct 2025
Controls on spatial and temporal variability of soil moisture across a heterogeneous boreal forest landscape
Francesco Zignol, William Lidberg, Caroline Greiser, Johannes Larson, Raúl Hoffrén, and Anneli M. Ågren
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 5493–5513, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5493-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5493-2025, 2025
Short summary
Francesco Zignol, William Lidberg, Caroline Greiser, Johannes Larson, Raúl Hoffrén, and Anneli M. Ågren
Francesco Zignol, William Lidberg, Caroline Greiser, Johannes Larson, Raúl Hoffrén, and Anneli M. Ågren

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Short summary
We investigated the factors influencing soil moisture variations across a boreal forest catchment in northern Sweden, where data is usually scarce. We found that soil moisture is shaped by topographical features, vegetation and soil characteristics, and weather conditions. The insights presented in this study will help improve models that predict soil moisture over space and time, which is crucial for forest management and nature conservation in the face of climate change and biodiversity loss.
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