the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Abrupt termination of the Little Ice Age in the Alps in the mid-19th century: lessons from a multi-proxy tree-ring reconstruction of glacier mass balance
Jérôme Lopez-Saez
Christophe Corona
Lenka Slamova
Matthias Huss
Valérie Daux
Kurt Nicolussi
Markus Stoffel
Abstract. Glacier mass-balance reconstructions provide a means of placing relatively short observational records into a longer-term context. Here, we use multiple proxies from Pinus cembra trees from God da Tamangur combining tree-ring anatomy and stable isotope chronologies to reconstruct seasonal glacier mass balance (i.e. winter, summer and annual mass balance) for the nearby Silvrettagletscher over the last two centuries. The combination of tree-ring width, radial cell wall thickness and δ13C isotope records provide a highly significant reconstruction for summer mass balance, whereas, for winter mass balance, the correlation was less significant but still robust when radial cell lumen was combined with δ18O and δ13C records. Combination of the reconstructed winter and summer mass balances allows quantification of the annual mass balance of Silvrettagletscher, for which in-situ measurements date back to 1919. Our reconstruction indicates a substantial increase in glacier mass during the first half of the 19th century and an abrupt termination of this phase after the end of the Little Ice Age. Since the 1860s, negative glacier mass balances have been dominant and mass losses accelerate as anthropogenic warming picks up in the Alps. This abrupt termination of the Little Ice Age cannot be found if the mass balance reconstruction is obtained from the gridded temperature and precipitation fields (1 × 1 km) available for Switzerland since 1763.
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Jérôme Lopez-Saez et al.
Status: open (extended)
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1746', Riccardo Cerrato, 09 Sep 2023
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In the manuscript ‘Abrupt termination of the Little Ice Age in the Alps in the mid-19th century: lessons from a multi-proxy tree-ring reconstruction of glacier mass balance’ Lopez-Saez and co-authors present seasonal (and annual) mass balance reconstructions for a Swiss glacier since 1802 CE. Authors use several proxies obtained by different methods (total ring width, quantitative wood analysis, and isotopes) and Principal Component Analysis to perform a multiparameter linear regression. The obtained loadings were used to explain and to reconstruct mass balances’ variance in the last century (since 1919). Results are statistically significant and pass the tests normally used in dendroclimatological reconstructions. They show variations of the mass balance compatible with known glaciological history in the Alps. Thus, authors conclude that the use of different wood-proxies permits the seasonal mass balance reconstruction of the Silvretta glacier.
The manuscript, in my opinion, is well written and the aims are clearly presented. Authors present exceptional datasets for an overlooked species in the Alps (i.e., Pinus cembra L.). In fact, in my knowledge, they present first isotope chronologies from Swiss stone pine in the area and one of the firsts chronologies of anatomical traits. Scientific design is solid and well presented. Moreover, only few dendroglaciological papers about European Alps were published, thus the manuscript is also characterized by a high level of novelty. However, in my opinion, the use of some methodologies is partly questionable, and both discussion and conclusion lack a bit of control in some parts resulting presented in a bloated fashion and quite speculative way.
Specific comments are reported in attached file.
Jérôme Lopez-Saez et al.
Jérôme Lopez-Saez et al.
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