Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-163
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-163
08 Feb 2023
 | 08 Feb 2023

Clustering of eruptive events from high precision strain signals recorded during the 2020–2022 lava fountains at Etna volcano (Italy)

Luigi Carleo, Gilda Currenti, and Alessandro Bonaccorso

Abstract. Explosive eruption events have been clustered by machine learning techniques applied on strain signal recorded by high-precision borehole strainmeters. We focus on the extraordinary intense and frequent eruptive activity at Etna in the period December 2020 – February 2022 when more than 60 lava fountains occurred. We apply the k-means algorithm on the associated strain variations which are representative of the eruptive dynamics. A novel procedure was developed to ensure a high-quality clustering process and obtain robust results. The analysis identified four distinct groups of strain variations which characterize the events in terms of amplitude, and duration and time derivative of the signal. The temporal distribution of the clusters provides useful insights into the evolution of the volcano activity and reveals transitions in the eruptive style.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

12 May 2023
Clustering of eruptive events from high-precision strain signals recorded during the 2020–2022 lava fountains at the Etna volcano (Italy)
Luigi Carleo, Gilda Currenti, and Alessandro Bonaccorso
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1743–1754, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1743-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1743-2023, 2023
Short summary
Luigi Carleo, Gilda Currenti, and Alessandro Bonaccorso

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (03 Apr 2023) by Giovanni Macedonio
AR by Gilda Currenti on behalf of the Authors (03 Apr 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (19 Apr 2023) by Giovanni Macedonio
AR by Gilda Currenti on behalf of the Authors (20 Apr 2023)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

12 May 2023
Clustering of eruptive events from high-precision strain signals recorded during the 2020–2022 lava fountains at the Etna volcano (Italy)
Luigi Carleo, Gilda Currenti, and Alessandro Bonaccorso
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1743–1754, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1743-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1743-2023, 2023
Short summary
Luigi Carleo, Gilda Currenti, and Alessandro Bonaccorso
Luigi Carleo, Gilda Currenti, and Alessandro Bonaccorso

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Short summary
Lava fountains at Etna volcano are explosive eruptions posing a serious threat to civil infrastructure and aviation. Their evolution from weak explosion to sustained eruptive column is imprinted in tiny ground deformation caught by strain signals with diverse duration and amplitude. By performing a clustering analysis on strain variations we discover a transition among four eruptive styles, providing useful hints for volcano monitoring and hazard assessment.