Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-895
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-895
23 Apr 2026
 | 23 Apr 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

A Generalized Framework for Multi-Parameter Optimization of Numerical Wind–Wave Model: Application to Typhoon Waves near Taiwan Island

Zongyu Li, Shuiqing Li, Jinrui Chen, Yuan Kong, Yong Fang, Jiageng Han, Pei Zhu, and Po Hu

Abstract. Accurate simulation of typhoon-induced waves is essential for marine hazard forecasting, yet numerical wave models remain limited under extreme wind conditions due to uncertainties in empirically calibrated parameters. In addition, conventional tuning approaches are inefficient for coordinated multi-parameter optimization. This study develops a multi-objective optimization framework for empirical parameter calibration in numerical wave models. Using the WAVEWATCH III model as a testbed, five key parameters influencing offshore and nearshore wave simulations are optimized for typhoon conditions in waters adjacent to Taiwan Island. Latin Hypercube Sampling is used to generate parameter combinations, and batch simulations are evaluated against buoy observations using root mean square error and bias. An adaptive regression model is constructed to map parameter space to error metrics, and the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm III (NSGA-III) is applied to identify optimal parameter combinations. Validation with independent typhoon events shows that the optimized configuration effectively improves significant wave height simulations, reducing both RMSE and bias relative to the default scheme. The proposed framework provides an efficient and transferable approach for improving wave model performance under extreme wind conditions.

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Zongyu Li, Shuiqing Li, Jinrui Chen, Yuan Kong, Yong Fang, Jiageng Han, Pei Zhu, and Po Hu

Status: open (until 18 Jun 2026)

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Zongyu Li, Shuiqing Li, Jinrui Chen, Yuan Kong, Yong Fang, Jiageng Han, Pei Zhu, and Po Hu
Zongyu Li, Shuiqing Li, Jinrui Chen, Yuan Kong, Yong Fang, Jiageng Han, Pei Zhu, and Po Hu
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Latest update: 23 Apr 2026
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Short summary
Accurate prediction of extreme ocean waves is crucial for coastal safety, yet numerical models often struggle during severe storms. We developed an automated method to adjust key model settings together, rather than one by one, using observations from typhoon events. Tests show that this approach clearly improves wave height predictions and reduces systematic errors. The method is transparent, efficient, and can be applied to many Earth system models to better simulate hazardous conditions.
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