Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-720
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-720
16 Feb 2026
 | 16 Feb 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).

Exploring Alternative SMAP Level-4 Carbon Model Formulations for the North American Arctic–Subarctic Growing Season

Rémi Madelon, K. Arthur Endsley, John S. Kimball, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, Oliver Sonnentag, Haley Alcock, Alex Mavrovic, Scott N. Williamson, Vincent Maire, Arnaud Mialon, and Alexandre Roy

Abstract. The Soil Moisture Active Passive Level-4 Terrestrial Carbon Flux model (hereafter referred to as the L4C model) provides daily estimates of net ecosystem CO2 exchange (NEE), gross primary production (GPP), and ecosystem respiration (ER) at a global scale. The model is based on direct mechanistic forcing–response relationships between CO2 fluxes and energy proxies (absorbed photosynthetically active radiation and temperature) and moisture proxies (soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit). Although the L4C model aims to provide a representative estimation of the CO2 budget of Arctic and Subarctic (AS) environments, a deeper understanding of carbon cycle processes and targeted refinements are needed to improve its accuracy. In this study, alternative model formulations are proposed for the North American AS regions during the growing season. These formulations are calibrated and evaluated using NEE-derived GPP and ER from 20 eddy covariance towers across western Canada and Alaska, covering the period from 2015 to 2022. Refinements in the representation of energy proxies resulted in greater improvements in model performance than adjustments to moisture proxies. Specifically, implementing a light-response curve in GPP estimation reduced unbiased root mean squared error and bias, while incorporating growing degree days improved correlation. Adjustments to rootzone and surface soil moisture in GPP and ER estimation, respectively, did not yield conclusive performance improvements. Vapor pressure deficit showed limited importance as a driver of GPP in upland tundra and wetlands, whereas it had a stronger impact in taiga forests. Finally, the litterfall scheme used to represent SOC dynamics in the L4C ER model formulation in version 8 demonstrated improved performance relative to version 7. These results highlight opportunities to enhance the accuracy of the L4C model for the North American AS growing season but also underscores the need for further research on ER modeling.

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Rémi Madelon, K. Arthur Endsley, John S. Kimball, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, Oliver Sonnentag, Haley Alcock, Alex Mavrovic, Scott N. Williamson, Vincent Maire, Arnaud Mialon, and Alexandre Roy

Status: open (until 30 Mar 2026)

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Rémi Madelon, K. Arthur Endsley, John S. Kimball, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, Oliver Sonnentag, Haley Alcock, Alex Mavrovic, Scott N. Williamson, Vincent Maire, Arnaud Mialon, and Alexandre Roy
Rémi Madelon, K. Arthur Endsley, John S. Kimball, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, Oliver Sonnentag, Haley Alcock, Alex Mavrovic, Scott N. Williamson, Vincent Maire, Arnaud Mialon, and Alexandre Roy

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Short summary
This study aims to improve estimates of carbon dioxide release and uptake in the North American Arctic and subarctic regions. Several modeling approaches were tested, showing that a better representation of sunlight and temperature effects on ecosystems leads to improved estimates. This work provides new perspectives to better assess whether these regions act as sources or sinks of greenhouse gases and how they may influence the climate system by amplifying or slowing global warming.
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