Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-6311
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-6311
23 Oct 2026
 | 23 Oct 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

TIPMIP-OCEAN experimental protocol phase 2: Southern Ocean and Combined Dual-Hemispheric Freshwater Forcing

Friederike Fröb, David Matthew Chandler, Anastasia Romanou, Manon Berger, Tomas Torsvik, Thomas L. Frölicher, Chuncheng Guo, Aixue Hu, Willem Huiskamp, Colin Jones, Malte Jürchott, Ann Kristin Klose, Torben Koenigk, Petra M. Langebroek, Nicole Laureanti, Paul Lerner, Torge Martin, Laurie Menviel, Lettie A. Roach, Robin Smith, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, and Shuting Yang

Abstract. This paper describes the experiment protocol for coordinated simulations of Southern Ocean and combined dual-hemispheric (Southern Ocean and North Atlantic) ice sheet meltwater flux perturbations. These simulations form the second phase of the TIPMIP-OCEAN domain as part of the international Tipping Points Modelling Intercomparison Project (TIPMIP). We propose that the experiments are included in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 7 (CMIP7), although any emission-driven Earth System Models can implement the protocol. The experimental design complements the first phase of the TIPMIP-OCEAN domain experiments which address the response of the North Atlantic to various amounts of Greenland Ice Sheet meltwater at different levels of global warming. Here we propose a similar protocol exploring the impact of freshwater fluxes from the Antarctic Ice Sheet into the Southern Ocean. Further, the impact of freshening in both hemispheres is examined, through simultaneous freshwater release around Greenland and off the coast of Antarctica. Together with the North Atlantic hosing simulations, our proposed experiments will assess the combined impact of freshening in both hemispheres on the stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and Southern Ocean Abyssal Circulation (SOAC), and their associated potential tipping mechanisms and impacts on the Earth system.

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Friederike Fröb, David Matthew Chandler, Anastasia Romanou, Manon Berger, Tomas Torsvik, Thomas L. Frölicher, Chuncheng Guo, Aixue Hu, Willem Huiskamp, Colin Jones, Malte Jürchott, Ann Kristin Klose, Torben Koenigk, Petra M. Langebroek, Nicole Laureanti, Paul Lerner, Torge Martin, Laurie Menviel, Lettie A. Roach, Robin Smith, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, and Shuting Yang

Status: open (until 18 Dec 2026)

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Friederike Fröb, David Matthew Chandler, Anastasia Romanou, Manon Berger, Tomas Torsvik, Thomas L. Frölicher, Chuncheng Guo, Aixue Hu, Willem Huiskamp, Colin Jones, Malte Jürchott, Ann Kristin Klose, Torben Koenigk, Petra M. Langebroek, Nicole Laureanti, Paul Lerner, Torge Martin, Laurie Menviel, Lettie A. Roach, Robin Smith, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, and Shuting Yang
Friederike Fröb, David Matthew Chandler, Anastasia Romanou, Manon Berger, Tomas Torsvik, Thomas L. Frölicher, Chuncheng Guo, Aixue Hu, Willem Huiskamp, Colin Jones, Malte Jürchott, Ann Kristin Klose, Torben Koenigk, Petra M. Langebroek, Nicole Laureanti, Paul Lerner, Torge Martin, Laurie Menviel, Lettie A. Roach, Robin Smith, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, and Shuting Yang
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Latest update: 23 Oct 2026
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Short summary
The Southern Ocean plays a key role in the climate system. Perturbations in the freshwater budget may affect local dens water formation impacting global climate. Here we outline a design for climate model experiments to assess the sensitivity of the large scale circulation to idealized freshwater fluxes. Multi-model results will allow to better understand the Earth System response to warming and freshening, applied in the Southern Ocean alone or in both hemispheres.
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