Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4713
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4713
21 Aug 2026
 | 21 Aug 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Mixed-Phase Microphysical Evolution in Large Eddy Simulations of Tropical Cumulus Congestus: Developing and Evaluating a Laboratory-based Ice Multiplication Parameterization of Freezing Drops

McKenna Stanford, Alice Keinert, Ann Fridlind, Alexei Kiselev, Daniel Knopf, Andrew Ackerman, Thomas Leisner, and Paul Lawson

Abstract. Ice microphysical processes modulate cloud structure, evolution, and Earth's radiative balance, yet secondary ice production (SIP)—whereby fragmentation enhances ice number concentrations (Nice) beyond what ice-nucleating particle (INP) populations alone can explain—remains poorly constrained. We develop a drop-shattering parameterization based on laboratory-observed pressure release event frequencies during drop freezing and evaluate it, alongside a water-activity-based immersion-freezing model for primary ice formation, in large eddy simulations (LES) of a tropical cumulus congestus case from NASA CAMP2Ex—the second of a two-part study extending liquid-phase results from Part I into the mixed-phase region. Bin and double-moment bulk simulations are evaluated against in situ aircraft observations from 0 to -15 °C. The baseline parameterization negligibly enhances Nice; a 10× multiplier on per-event splinter numbers—reflecting substantial production uncertainty—increases Nice by 1–2 orders of magnitude. The bulk scheme reaches localized maxima near 103 L-1, while the bin scheme reaches 10–20 L-1, reflecting fundamentally different collision-kernel structures between the schemes. A primary-secondary ice feedback emerges exclusively in the bin scheme, driven by INP enrichment of precipitation-sized drops through collision-coalescence and INP accumulation; this feedback is absent in the bulk scheme due to its lack of aerosol core mass tracking. The 10× parameterization partially reconciles a 1–2 order-of-magnitude deficit in simulated concentrations for sizes > 200 μm relative to observed particle size distributions, with turbulence-induced collision enhancement essential for conditioning SIP efficiency. Together, these bin and bulk implementations provide a foundation for improving SIP representation in large-scale models.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
Share
McKenna Stanford, Alice Keinert, Ann Fridlind, Alexei Kiselev, Daniel Knopf, Andrew Ackerman, Thomas Leisner, and Paul Lawson

Status: open (until 02 Oct 2026)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
McKenna Stanford, Alice Keinert, Ann Fridlind, Alexei Kiselev, Daniel Knopf, Andrew Ackerman, Thomas Leisner, and Paul Lawson
McKenna Stanford, Alice Keinert, Ann Fridlind, Alexei Kiselev, Daniel Knopf, Andrew Ackerman, Thomas Leisner, and Paul Lawson
Metrics will be available soon.
Latest update: 22 Aug 2026
Download
Short summary
Clouds containing a mixture of liquid and ice are poorly simulated because ice crystals multiply via poorly understood mechanisms. This study uses laboratory experiments to represent ice multiplication from freezing drops and evaluates that representation in high-resolution simulations against aircraft observations. Ice fragment production increases ice crystal numbers but is modulated by the evolution of raindrops prior to freezing, with direct implications for weather and climate models.
Share