Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4157
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4157
04 Aug 2026
 | 04 Aug 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).

RiverGraphNet: Physics-Aware Routing of Gridded Runoff Through Directed River Networks

Mohammad A. Farmani, Andrew Bennet, Sadaf Moghisi, Hoshin Gupta, Muhammad Jawad, Ali Behrangi, Ahmad A. Tavakoly, and Guo-Yue Niu

Abstract. River routing provides the critical link between runoff generation and downstream streamflow prediction, yet conventional routing models often rely on simplified hydraulic assumptions, fixed parameters, and conservative transport formulations that may limit performance in heterogeneous river systems. Here, we introduce RiverGraphNet, a physics-aware graph-based routing framework designed to route physically generated gridded runoff through directed river networks. The framework explicitly isolates routing from runoff generation by coupling Noah-MP runoff with a directed river-network graph derived from the NextGen hydrofabric for the Salt–Verde watershed (Arizona, USA). Gridded runoff is transferred from the Noah-MP domain to graph nodes representing hydrologic routing elements, while streamflow propagation is learned using a Graph Attention Network (GAT) informed by physically meaningful node and edge attributes describing drainage structure, terrain, and hydraulic-routing proxies.

RiverGraphNet was evaluated against observed daily streamflow at 23 USGS gauges and compared with RAPID, a widely used physics-based routing benchmark forced with identical Noah-MP gridded runoff inputs. Experiments examined the influence of temporal routing memory (3–30 day runoff lags), temporal convolution, and alternative loss functions (MSE, weighted MSE, and JKGE-based objectives). RiverGraphNet consistently outperformed RAPID across nearly all gauges and configurations. The best-performing experiment (14-day lag weighted MSE) achieved a median KGE{ss} of 0.72, substantially exceeding RAPID performance (median KGE{ss} of 0.0). Event-scale hydrographs and flow-duration analyses demonstrated improved representation of peak timing, event magnitude, and long-term streamflow distributions. Attention analysis further revealed that routing improvements were most strongly associated with channel-width and dominant-pathway metrics rather than travel-time proxies alone, suggesting that adaptive representation of network influence provides predictive value beyond conventional travel-time parameterization. These results demonstrate the potential of physics-aware, topology-constrained graph learning as a flexible alternative for routing gridded hydrologic runoff through complex river networks.

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Mohammad A. Farmani, Andrew Bennet, Sadaf Moghisi, Hoshin Gupta, Muhammad Jawad, Ali Behrangi, Ahmad A. Tavakoly, and Guo-Yue Niu

Status: open (until 15 Sep 2026)

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Mohammad A. Farmani, Andrew Bennet, Sadaf Moghisi, Hoshin Gupta, Muhammad Jawad, Ali Behrangi, Ahmad A. Tavakoly, and Guo-Yue Niu
Mohammad A. Farmani, Andrew Bennet, Sadaf Moghisi, Hoshin Gupta, Muhammad Jawad, Ali Behrangi, Ahmad A. Tavakoly, and Guo-Yue Niu
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Latest update: 04 Aug 2026
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Short summary
This study presents RiverGraphNet, an artificial intelligence framework for predicting how runoff moves through connected river networks. Applied to Arizona’s Salt–Verde watershed, the method improved daily streamflow prediction relative to a standard physics-based routing model, especially for event timing and flow distributions. The results show that combining river-network structure with artificial intelligence can support better flood, reservoir, and water-resource prediction.
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