Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3862
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3862
03 Aug 2026
 | 03 Aug 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Earth System Dynamics (ESD).

Towards modelling the World-Earth System: A Systematic Literature Review of the State of the Art and Ways Forward

Hannah Prawitz, Luana Schwarz, Wolfram Barfuss, Sibel Eker, Johannes Halbe, and Jonathan Friedemann Donges

Abstract. Understanding coupled World-Earth system dynamics is central to navigating the Anthropocene, yet global social and environmental systems are still predominantly modelled separately. Bidirectionally coupled models of global scale that represent both subsystems as endogenous components are increasingly developed, but the field remains fragmented across disciplines, modelling traditions, and epistemological assumptions.

This study presents a systematic review of global social-environmental modelling approaches, drawing on 314 peer-reviewed studies identified through a comprehensive database search and the usage of a newly developed, Large-Language Model assisted approach.

We propose a typology of three model groups – Goal-Oriented models, Structural Feedback models, and Dynamic Co-evolutionary approaches – that can help to navigate the diverse landscape of this research field and assess them against the design principles for World-Earth Models proposed by Donges/Heitzig et al. (2020).

Our analysis shows characteristic strengths and limitations tied to each typical model group. Across all, socio-cultural processes beyond economic optimization, diverse bidirectional feedback, endogenous tipping dynamics, and cross-scale interactions remain systematically underrepresented. A collaboration analysis further confirms the conceptional difference between the proposed groups and highlights the strong fragmentation of the field along the model groups.

These findings suggest that future modelling efforts towards a better understanding of Anthropocene dynamics and World-Earth System resilience should prioritize broader actor representation, more diverse feedback structures, and explicit coupling of social and biophysical tipping processes, ideally through hybrid modelling formats – while remaining grounded in the specific research question rather than aiming for universal coverage.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Earth System Dynamics.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Hannah Prawitz, Luana Schwarz, Wolfram Barfuss, Sibel Eker, Johannes Halbe, and Jonathan Friedemann Donges

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Hannah Prawitz, Luana Schwarz, Wolfram Barfuss, Sibel Eker, Johannes Halbe, and Jonathan Friedemann Donges
Hannah Prawitz, Luana Schwarz, Wolfram Barfuss, Sibel Eker, Johannes Halbe, and Jonathan Friedemann Donges
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Short summary
Human societies and the natural environment constantly shape one another, yet researchers usually study and model them separately. We reviewed 314 studies on global, two-way coupled social-environmental models and propose a typology to structure the field. While we find clear differences between the groups, models overall could be improved by better representing social-cultural dynamics, agent heterogeneity, diverse feedback loops, endogenous tipping dynamics, and cross-scale interactions.
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