Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3578
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3578
26 Jun 2026
 | 26 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).

A data-driven method coupling multiple physical constraints for correcting structural errors in groundwater contaminant transport models

Jinglong Tian, Xiankui Zeng, Yue Pan, Dong Wang, and Jichun Wu

Abstract. Model structural errors are pervasive in groundwater contaminant transport modeling under complex environmental conditions, hindering accurate prediction of contamination transport. Data-driven methods (DDMs) coupled with physical constraints provide an effective approach for correcting structural errors and improving prediction. However, in multicomponent reactive transport systems, multiple physical mechanisms must be satisfied simultaneously, whereas existing DDMs have limited capacity to effectively couple multiple physical constraints. To address this challenge, this study proposes a general method for correcting structural errors in groundwater models. A combined likelihood function is constructed and sub-likelihood weights are dynamically updated to effectively couple multiple physical constraints. The method is evaluated using a synthetic three-dimensional tetrachloroethylene reactive transport simulation and a cadmium-phosphate cotransport sand column experiment. These tests systematically assess the effects of coupling single versus multiple physical constraints on structural error correction and predictive performance. The results show that coupling multiple constraints can constrain parameter identification, reduce predictive uncertainty, and more comprehensively improve model predictions. Appropriate physical constraints function analogously to incorporating additional observations. Moreover, coupling multiple physical constraints results in a simpler form of structural error in the calibrated groundwater model, making it easier to characterize, thereby enhancing prediction accuracy and physical consistency. The proposed dynamic updating and stopping criterion of sub-likelihood weights maintains a balance between multiple physical constraints and observations, improving the robustness of parameter identification and constraint enforcement. Overall, the proposed DDM coupled with multiple physical constraints provides a general framework for correcting structural errors in complex groundwater contaminant transport models.

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Jinglong Tian, Xiankui Zeng, Yue Pan, Dong Wang, and Jichun Wu

Status: open (until 07 Aug 2026)

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Jinglong Tian, Xiankui Zeng, Yue Pan, Dong Wang, and Jichun Wu
Jinglong Tian, Xiankui Zeng, Yue Pan, Dong Wang, and Jichun Wu
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Short summary
Computer models that predict how pollutants spread through groundwater often contain errors, making forecasts unreliable. To fix this, we developed a new method that combines data-driven learning with physical laws. Our approach uses multiple physical constraints simultaneously, and dynamically adjusts their importance during calculations. This works because the extra constraints act like having additional measurements, helping the model better identify key parameters and reduce uncertainty.
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