Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3559
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3559
01 Sep 2026
 | 01 Sep 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

NEMO-GSL v1.0: An integrated hydrodynamic and ice-process model for a deep subarctic lake (Great Slave Lake, Canada)

Jonas Stankevicius, Alain Pietroniro, Qi Zhou, Mohamed Elshamy, and John W. Pomeroy

Abstract. NEMO-GSL v1.0 is a three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice configuration of Great Slave Lake (GSL), the deepest lake in North America and a central component of the Mackenzie River system, built on NEMO v5.0 with the SI3 ice module. The configuration targets conditions absent from ocean and temperate large-lake setups: weak, temperature-controlled stratification, seasonal ice cover exceeding seven months annually, and water levels governed by riverine throughflow. Simulation domain construction required a basin-wide bathymetric product, generated by Universal Kriging of digitized nautical charts, sparse soundings and crowd-sourced depths onto a 1 km grid with 81 vertical levels. Adaptations from NEMO defaults include generic length scale k–ω closure with the Canuto B stability function for weakly stratified freshwater, adjusted SI3 snow conductivity and ice albedo for freshwater ice under prolonged cover, and a modified river routine in which outflow is computed from mean lake level using monthly stage–discharge relationships, with a hydrostatic correction for the ice and snow load applied in winter. The configuration is forced by CaSR v3.2 atmospheric reanalysis and MESH-derived runoff. Evaluation over 1998–2001 against thermistor profiles at six stations, eddy-covariance evaporation, satellite-derived lake surface water temperature (LSWT) and ice phenology yields water-column RMSE of 2.08 °C, LSWT RMSE of 1.68 °C, mixed-layer depth (MLD) MAE of 6.42 m, seasonal evaporation totals within 0.25 % of observations, and ice freeze-up and break-up errors of 1 and 2 days, respectively. Forcing sensitivity experiments reveal wind forcing as the dominant control on simulated mixed layer depth. The bathymetric reconstruction methodology, ice–turbulence parameterization protocol, and river-forcing coupling strategy developed here are independent of GSL-specific inputs and are intended for reuse in other data-scarce, ice-covered lakes. Together, these developments are designed to establish a replicable workflow for subarctic lake modeling, extending NEMO’s application domain beyond the contexts of ocean and temperate large lakes.

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Jonas Stankevicius, Alain Pietroniro, Qi Zhou, Mohamed Elshamy, and John W. Pomeroy

Status: open (until 27 Oct 2026)

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Jonas Stankevicius, Alain Pietroniro, Qi Zhou, Mohamed Elshamy, and John W. Pomeroy
Jonas Stankevicius, Alain Pietroniro, Qi Zhou, Mohamed Elshamy, and John W. Pomeroy
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Short summary
We built a three-dimensional computer model of Great Slave Lake, the deepest lake in North America, to understand how large northern lakes warm, mix, and freeze. Compared with temperature, ice, and evaporation measurements from 1998 to 2001, it reproduced water temperatures well, timed ice freeze-up and break-up to within one or two days, and matched summer evaporation closely. Wind most strongly controlled mixing. The methods can be reused on other remote ice-covered lakes for climate studies.
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