the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The Netherlands flooded by flames: a rapid-response analysis of the Apr/May 2026 simultaneous wildfire events
Abstract. In The Netherlands in April/May 2026, the country world famous for its floods and water management saw itself overwhelmed by wildfires. Here, we present a multi- and transdisciplinary rapid response analysis focusing on the phenological, meteorological and climatological conditions in which these fires occurred, assess their characteristics, and describe the response of the emergency services, government, and media. Within five days of high-alert, 111 wildfires were reported; only three were large enough for their burned area to be detected in EFFIS – all on military terrain. Despite major public outcry against the Department of Defence, we could only trace 6 out of 111 fire reports to military sites, 5.4 %. The wildfire outbreak triggered considerable smoke concerns, evacuations and closures as well as a media storm, and caused the country to request EU assistance for the first time. The simultaneity of these fires was not new, we argue that the challenge was caused by a small number of large fires and a large number of smaller fires, to which large numbers of resources were deployed because of the continuing drought combined with low day- and nighttime relative humidity, incomplete vegetation green-up and strong winds, in a densely populated country with a lack of defensible space. We explain the major impacts not by the number of fires, their size, or behavior, but by the millions of people unfamiliar with wildfires that were exposed to smoke, emergency alerts, or the subsequent media attention. Based on this, we formulated five rapid lessons to prevent collapse of the emergency response system: 1) reduce ignitions in critical weather, 2) create a warning tool for atmospheric fire coupling, 3) make landscapes fire resilient, 4) increase initial attack capacity and effectiveness, and 5) engage proactively when crises occur. Structural recommendations to develop a fire culture and facilitate implementation of these lessons are: 1) structurally finance integrated fire management, 2) systematically collect data, 3) invest in education and outreach, 4) facilitate the use of fire as a tool, and 5) support cross-boundary learning.
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Status: open (until 29 Oct 2026)
- RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-3303', Anonymous Referee #1, 25 Sep 2026 reply
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-3303', Vikram Elavarasan, 03 Oct 2026
reply
Line 60, -The paper refers to fires and wildfires interchangeably which might cause confusion in the mind fo readers. So it is better to refer to them as wildfires while referring to forest fires and other landscae fires (other than in agri lands).
Lines 75-80- It would be better to define small fires so the context is fully understood for international audience and also can correlate with their detectability by satellittes.
Lines 95-100- Suggested to rephrase sentence as thunderstorms are understood to be accompanied by rains.
2.1.3- The para starts with description of work by the FBAN-NL team and suddenly transitions to the current research work. It culd be mentioned clearly or split into different subsections or paras to avoid confusion.
Table1- Size of the fires couldl be included for clarity.
Box-1- Fire Behaviour- Please check spotting distance mentioned as it appears to be too large for the terrain. Similarly for Budel fire in Table 1- the spotting dstance of 500-600 m appears to be very high considering that the burnt area is only 132 Ha.
3.1.1 - b,e, anf f show sudden drop in NDVI values probably due to post fire phase -
275-280- The variation in SPI across years to establish exterme weather conditions in Apr-May, 2026 can be better eillustrated using graphs.
The relevance of exereme weather/drought and numerous small fires overwhelming the system has been well caputred in the reearch paper. However, there is no clarity on the fuel availability especially in comparision to similar years like 2018 which is a significant question. However, in all likelihood, it appears that the sudden change of weather especially dry easterly winds corroborated with wind dominated fire spread is the best possiblel explanation for these events. Another area for research could be to study the sources/ causes of these ignitions which still appears to be a mystery except for one or two where the militry drills seem to have caused them.
4.4 - Some sentences referring to the work of FBAN-NL team and rerefence to "our warnings were not taken seriously or even ridiculed, and/or heard that investment in water access points will save us" tend to appear as value judgements. Though the point of view are well placed and highly relevant, it would be better to address them more passively as the danger of sounding confrontational and being dismissed, therefore, are high.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3303-RC2
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This manuscript provides a transdisciplinary rapid-response analysis of the unprecedented April/May 2026 simultaneous wildfire events in the Netherlands. The integration of phenological, meteorological, and emergency response perspectives is useful. However, because the analysis was conducted rapidly (within 2-4 weeks of the events), there are several methodological gaps regarding data provenance and causal claims that must be addressed to ensure scientific rigor.
The authors have written an urgent paper. However, because they are bridging Dutch local data with international "mega-fire" paradigms (likely influenced by the Mediterranean experts on the panel), they need to ensure their solutions are strictly tailored to the geographic and political realities of the Netherlands. Additionally, establishing clearer boundaries around data uncertainty will strengthen the manuscript's position as an authoritative baseline for future, more exhaustive evaluations.