Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2787
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2787
11 Jun 2026
 | 11 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Weather and Climate Dynamics (WCD).

Large-scale circulation and stratocumulus variability

Hairu Ding, Bjorn Stevens, Frank Lunkeit, and Nedjeljka Žagar

Abstract. This study aims to understand the relationship between large-scale circulation and stratocumulus variability. We use reanalysis and satellite data to identify circulation patterns that couple with estimated inversion strength (EIS) and low-cloud cover (LCC) in stratocumulus areas. The results update the current understanding in two aspects: the limited direct influence of the tropical thermodynamic framework on stratocumulus, and the different responses of EIS and LCC to large-scale circulation.

Extratropical dynamics control EIS variability. From synoptic to interseasonal timescales (after deseasonalization), synoptic-scale Rossby ridges located directly over stratocumulus enhance stability throughout the tropospheric column and thereby increase EIS. On interannual timescales, planetary-scale Rossby waves coupled with a negative PDO-like (Pacific Decadal Oscillation-like) sea surface temperature pattern increase EIS. In contrast, LCC responds to circulation patterns similar to those associated with EIS, but with a systematic upstream (west and poleward) shift. This shift suggests a direct response of LCC to circulation through enhanced pressure gradients, which increase cold advection and offset the drying effect of Rossby ridges via stronger winds. The upstream Rossby ridges associated with increased LCC often overlap with the subtropical highs, which has led to the previous emphasis on thermodynamic processes that strengthen subtropical highs by enhancing the descending branch of the Hadley cell.

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Hairu Ding, Bjorn Stevens, Frank Lunkeit, and Nedjeljka Žagar

Status: open (until 23 Jul 2026)

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Hairu Ding, Bjorn Stevens, Frank Lunkeit, and Nedjeljka Žagar
Hairu Ding, Bjorn Stevens, Frank Lunkeit, and Nedjeljka Žagar
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Short summary
Stratocumulus cover large areas of the low-latitude oceans and influence Earth’s solar radiation. This work investigates the relationship between large-scale circulation and stratocumulus variability across timescales. The results help explain inconsistencies in previously proposed large-scale mechanisms and highlight that stratocumulus are not controlled by a single factor (lower-tropospheric stability), although they correlate strongly on long timescales.
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