Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2643
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2643
06 Jul 2026
 | 06 Jul 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Long-term evolution and type-specific rainy-season activity of post-seismic geohazards in Southwest China

Hongyu Duan, Guoxiang Tu, and Han Liu

Abstract. Long-term evolution of post-seismic geohazards represents a critical yet complex challenge in earthquake-affected regions. This study systematically investigates the spatiotemporal patterns of post-seismic geohazard evolution following three major seismic events: the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake (Mw7.9), 2013 Lushan earthquake (Mw6.6), and 2017 Jiuzhaigou earthquake (Mw7.0), focusing on four representative counties (Wenchuan, Beichuan, Lushan, and Jiuzhaigou County) in Southwest China. The results show that: (1) post-seismic geohazard activity showed an intermittent clustered outbreak pattern; (2) geohazards were mainly concentrated in valley-related geomorphic units, with county-level differences characterized by reactivation–expansion, spatial inheritance, localization, and contraction; (3) monthly records excluding earthquake-month records showed a clear rainy-season concentration, with 78.1 % of geohazards occurring from June to August; and (4) Beichuan and Lushan showed clearer weakening trends, whereas Wenchuan and Jiuzhaigou remained in low-level persistent activity stages and should receive continued monitoring attention. These findings provide useful insights for long-term geohazard monitoring and risk mitigation in earthquake-affected mountainous regions.

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Hongyu Duan, Guoxiang Tu, and Han Liu

Status: open (until 17 Aug 2026)

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Hongyu Duan, Guoxiang Tu, and Han Liu
Hongyu Duan, Guoxiang Tu, and Han Liu
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Short summary
Earthquakes can leave mountain slopes unstable for many years. This study examines records of landslides, rock falls, and debris flows in four counties of Southwest China after three major earthquakes. The results show that these hazards tend to occur in repeated active periods and are concentrated near valleys, especially during the rainy season. The findings can help identify areas that need long-term monitoring and risk reduction.
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