Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6294
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6294
12 Jan 2026
 | 12 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).

Groundwater Hysteresis Increasingly Decouples Flowing Network Length from Streamflow as Snow Shifts to Rain

Elijah N. Boardman, Mark S. Wigmosta, Nicole M. Fernandez, John A. Whiting, and Adrian A. Harpold

Abstract. Flowing stream networks expand and contract in response to dynamic groundwater levels. Field studies generally associate greater flowing network length (L) with higher streamflow (Q), but this neglects potential hysteresis caused by nonequilibrium groundwater flow after rain and snowmelt. Using a new version of the Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM), we predict that groundwater hysteresis may decouple L from Q across large (>100%) variations in Q. In a 27km2 snowy volcanic watershed, seasonal anomalies in measured stream ionic concentration indicate an outsized contribution from longer subsurface flowpaths during recession, supporting our L-Q hysteresis hypothesis and refining our model calibration. The model can reproduce observed stream network elasticity (from field surveys), and the predicted network length anomaly mirrors seasonal anomalies in measured stream ionic concentration (r= −0.92), suggesting that the model can capture the seasonal reconfiguration of groundwater flowpaths. A warmer climate is expected to cause a partial transition from snow to rain resulting in flashier streamflow, but our simulations predict that seasonal groundwater hysteresis would dampen storm-scale stream network elasticity, thereby significantly increasing L-Q hysteresis on daily to monthly timescales (p<0.01). Conceptual models of stream networks should consider the potential effects of groundwater hysteresis in headwaters catchments, especially in a changing environment. More broadly, our investigation highlights how spatially distributed process-based hydrological modeling can sometimes reveal emergent hydrological behaviors that are not apparent from sparse field data.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Elijah N. Boardman, Mark S. Wigmosta, Nicole M. Fernandez, John A. Whiting, and Adrian A. Harpold

Status: open (until 27 Feb 2026)

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  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6294', Giacomo Medici, 16 Jan 2026 reply
Elijah N. Boardman, Mark S. Wigmosta, Nicole M. Fernandez, John A. Whiting, and Adrian A. Harpold

Data sets

Data and Code for Stream Network Hysteresis Study Using DHSVM in Sagehen Creek Basin Elijah Boardman https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17958145

Video supplement

Supplemental Video - Groundwater and Stream Network Animation Elijah Boardman https://mountainhydrology.com/sagehen_groundwater_stream_animation/

Elijah N. Boardman, Mark S. Wigmosta, Nicole M. Fernandez, John A. Whiting, and Adrian A. Harpold

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Short summary
Distributed simulations and geochemical data suggest that groundwater hysteresis dampens the elasticity of flowing stream networks. This effect is expected to become more important as intense rainfall events replace gradual snowmelt in a warmer climate.
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