Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6145
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6145
23 Feb 2026
 | 23 Feb 2026

AstroComb(v.1.0): Non-linear, Multi-channel, Probabilistic Cyclostratigraphic Analysis

Iris Fernandes, Klaus Mosegaard, Aske L. Sørensen, Mohammad Youssof, Nicolas Thibault, and Tais W. Dahl

Abstract. We present a new algorithm for constructing floating astronomical timescales with explicit uncertainty estimates from sedimentary sequences. The method integrates probabilistic spectral analysis with inverse geochronological modeling, applied to ultra-high-resolution, multiproxy datasets such as core scanning X-Ray Fluorescence (XRF) elemental records. Our framework does not smooth data or impose layer-to-layer dependency, allowing sedimentation rates to vary abruptly at short stratigraphic length scales. By detecting and statistically constraining Milankovitch cycles preserved in stratigraphic signals, the algorithm seeks a floating age-depth model that can be anchored to astronomical tie points, where available. The resulting timescales enable precise, uncertainty-bounded timing of biostratigraphic zones, geochemical events, and depositional cycles. This approach advances astrochronology by combining cycle detection with formal stratigraphic modelling, while preserving fine-scale depositional variability, offering a reproducible and statistically rigorous framework for dating deep-time records.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

26 Oct 2026
AstroComb(v.1.0): non-linear, multi-channel, probabilistic cyclostratigraphic analysis
Iris Fernandes, Klaus Mosegaard, Aske L. Sørensen, Mohammad Youssof, Nicolas Thibault, and Tais W. Dahl
Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 10143–10154, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-10143-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-10143-2026, 2026
Short summary
Iris Fernandes, Klaus Mosegaard, Aske L. Sørensen, Mohammad Youssof, Nicolas Thibault, and Tais W. Dahl

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6145', Valentin Zuchuat, 24 Feb 2026
    • EC1: 'Reply on RC1', Thomas Poulet, 05 Mar 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Iris Fernandes, 27 May 2026
      • EC4: 'Reply on AC1', Thomas Poulet, 28 May 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6145', Matthias Sinnesael, 27 Mar 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Iris Fernandes, 27 May 2026
  • EC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6145', Thomas Poulet, 28 Mar 2026
    • EC3: 'Reply on EC2', Thomas Poulet, 02 Apr 2026
    • AC4: 'Reply on EC2', Iris Fernandes, 27 May 2026
    • AC5: 'Reply on EC2', Iris Fernandes, 27 May 2026
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6145', Stephen Meyers, 19 Apr 2026
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Iris Fernandes, 27 May 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Iris Fernandes on behalf of the Authors (27 May 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (28 May 2026) by Thomas Poulet
RR by Valentin Zuchuat (07 Jun 2026)
RR by Stephen Meyers (15 Jun 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (16 Jun 2026) by Thomas Poulet
AR by Iris Fernandes on behalf of the Authors (03 Jul 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (07 Jul 2026) by Thomas Poulet
AR by Iris Fernandes on behalf of the Authors (17 Jul 2026)  Manuscript 

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6145', Valentin Zuchuat, 24 Feb 2026
    • EC1: 'Reply on RC1', Thomas Poulet, 05 Mar 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Iris Fernandes, 27 May 2026
      • EC4: 'Reply on AC1', Thomas Poulet, 28 May 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6145', Matthias Sinnesael, 27 Mar 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Iris Fernandes, 27 May 2026
  • EC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6145', Thomas Poulet, 28 Mar 2026
    • EC3: 'Reply on EC2', Thomas Poulet, 02 Apr 2026
    • AC4: 'Reply on EC2', Iris Fernandes, 27 May 2026
    • AC5: 'Reply on EC2', Iris Fernandes, 27 May 2026
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6145', Stephen Meyers, 19 Apr 2026
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Iris Fernandes, 27 May 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Iris Fernandes on behalf of the Authors (27 May 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (28 May 2026) by Thomas Poulet
RR by Valentin Zuchuat (07 Jun 2026)
RR by Stephen Meyers (15 Jun 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (16 Jun 2026) by Thomas Poulet
AR by Iris Fernandes on behalf of the Authors (03 Jul 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (07 Jul 2026) by Thomas Poulet
AR by Iris Fernandes on behalf of the Authors (17 Jul 2026)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

26 Oct 2026
AstroComb(v.1.0): non-linear, multi-channel, probabilistic cyclostratigraphic analysis
Iris Fernandes, Klaus Mosegaard, Aske L. Sørensen, Mohammad Youssof, Nicolas Thibault, and Tais W. Dahl
Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 10143–10154, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-10143-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-10143-2026, 2026
Short summary
Iris Fernandes, Klaus Mosegaard, Aske L. Sørensen, Mohammad Youssof, Nicolas Thibault, and Tais W. Dahl
Iris Fernandes, Klaus Mosegaard, Aske L. Sørensen, Mohammad Youssof, Nicolas Thibault, and Tais W. Dahl

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The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

Short summary
We introduce a new method to more precisely date ancient sediment layers using astronomical time cycles recorded in the rock. Unlike previous tools, it handles complex, multi-channel data without oversimplifying and gives clear estimates of dating uncertainty. This helps future research in better understand Earth’s past climate, biological changes, and geologic events with greater confidence and accuracy.
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