Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6017
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6017
21 Jan 2026
 | 21 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

Process-based evaluation of ENSO simulation sensitivity to horizontal resolution in the Chinese Academy of Sciences FGOALS-f3 Climate System Model

Meng-Er Song, Lin Chen, Yongqiang Yu, Bo An, Jiuwei Zhao, and Hai Zhi

Abstract. El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most prominent interannual climate variability, hence its simulation performance represents a critical benchmark for evaluating the fidelity of coupled climate models. Increasing model resolution is an effective approach to improve the model simulation; however, the impact of refining horizontal resolution from the hundred-kilometer scale to the tens-of-kilometer scale on ENSO simulation, as well as the underlying mechanisms, remains unclear. This study provides a process-based evaluation of ENSO behaviour in two versions of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Flexible Global Ocean–Atmosphere–Land System Finite-Volume version 3 (FGOALS-f3) climate system model: a low-resolution configuration (~100 km; FGOALS-f3-L, hereafter f3-L) and a high-resolution configuration (~25 km; FGOALS-f3-H, hereafter f3-H). Using a reproducible diagnostic framework, we assess how horizontal resolution influences ENSO amplitude, oscillation characteristics, key air–sea coupling processes, and high-frequency (HF) atmospheric variability. The low-resolution severely overestimates ENSO amplitude, whereas f3-H produces amplitude closer to the observation. Process-based diagnostics show that this improvement arises from the more realistic representation of thermocline and zonal advection feedback processes in f3-H, which arises from the more realistic representation of the meridional structure of ENSO-related zonal wind stress anomalies over equatorial Pacific in f3-H and can be traced back to its improved horizontal resolution. The ENSO cycle in f3-L exhibits excessive regularity, featuring periodic warm-cold transitions; while f3-H reproduces an irregular oscillation resembling the observation. The excessive regularity in f3-L is attributed to its coarser resolution, which limits the simulation performance of tropical cyclones and consequently weakens high-frequency westerly wind activity over the tropical Pacific. The feeble stochastic forcing in f3-L is insufficient to disrupt its overly intense ENSO cycle, yielding an overly regular oscillation. By identifying the structural sources of ENSO biases across resolutions, this study provides a reproducible and model-agnostic framework for diagnosing resolution effects on ENSO performance in climate models and informs future development of FGOALS-f3 model family.

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Meng-Er Song, Lin Chen, Yongqiang Yu, Bo An, Jiuwei Zhao, and Hai Zhi

Status: open (until 18 Mar 2026)

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Meng-Er Song, Lin Chen, Yongqiang Yu, Bo An, Jiuwei Zhao, and Hai Zhi

Data sets

The output of FGOALS-f3 models Q. Bao and B. He http://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.3312

The data for ORAS5 and ERA5 dataset H. Zuo and H. Hersbach https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/datasets

The data for GPCP dataset R. F. Adler https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/global-precipitation-climatology-project-gpcp-daily/access

The data for SODA dataset J. A. Carton http://apdrc.soest.hawaii.edu/datadoc/soda_2.2.4.php

The data for the TC best track in observation M. Ying https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/en/zjljsjj.html

The data for HadISST dataset N. A. Rayner https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadisst/data/download.html

Model code and software

The code for FGOALS-f3 model M. E. Song https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17778266

Meng-Er Song, Lin Chen, Yongqiang Yu, Bo An, Jiuwei Zhao, and Hai Zhi
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Latest update: 21 Jan 2026
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Short summary
This study evaluates how horizontal resolution affects ENSO simulation in the CAS FGOALS-f3 climate model by comparing its ~25 km and ~100 km configurations. Using a reproducible, process-based diagnostic framework, we identify the structural origins of ENSO biases and show that they stem from resolution-dependent air-sea feedbacks and high-frequency atmospheric variability. This work informs future development for the FGOALS-f3 family and serves as a reference for CMIP6/CMIP7 model evaluation.
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