Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5736
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5736
09 Jan 2026
 | 09 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

A Systematic Atmospheric Parameter Optimization method to Improve ENSO Simulation in the ICON XPP Earth System Model

Dakuan Yu, Dietmar Dommenget, Holger Pohlmann, and Wolfgang A. Müller

Abstract. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a dominant mode of interannual climate variability, yet accurately simulating ENSO in climate models remains a major challenge due to its complex coupled dynamics. In this study, we present a novel linear optimization methodology and systematically adjust atmospheric parameters to improve ENSO fidelity in the Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic eXtended Predictions and Projections (ICON XPP) Earth System Model of the Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology. The optimization approach is based on the superposition of parameter sensitivities and a Nelder–Mead algorithm that reduces the ENSO cost function. The cost function account for ENSO-related tropical climatology, variability, and feedbacks, which are estimated with the ENSO metric package. We firstly assess the sensitivity of ENSO metrics to 21 atmospheric parameters in atmosphere-only simulations. The optimization approach reduces the ENSO cost function by 30 % in the optimized atmosphere-only runs. Key improvements include reduced precipitation bias and strengthened atmospheric feedbacks such as the Bjerknes and thermal damping feedbacks. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in improving ENSO metrics within the atmosphere-only configuration. Six parameters identified as most impactful from atmosphere-only tuning experiments are subsequently tuned in fully coupled simulations. The optimized fully coupled run yields moderate improvements in ENSO amplitude, cold tongue SST bias, seasonal phase-locking, ocean-atmosphere coupling and teleconnection patterns. However, isolated ENSO tuning introduces unrealistic global warming, which is further corrected by adjusting turbulence-related parameters without degrading ENSO skill. These results demonstrate that systematic ENSO tuning can yield performance gains but must be balanced with broader climate stability constraints. Our method offers a scalable, physically grounded optimization strategy, with strong potential for tuning ENSO in climate model configurations.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
Share
Dakuan Yu, Dietmar Dommenget, Holger Pohlmann, and Wolfgang A. Müller

Status: open (until 06 Mar 2026)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
Dakuan Yu, Dietmar Dommenget, Holger Pohlmann, and Wolfgang A. Müller
Dakuan Yu, Dietmar Dommenget, Holger Pohlmann, and Wolfgang A. Müller

Viewed

Total article views: 33 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
26 7 0 33 2 1
  • HTML: 26
  • PDF: 7
  • XML: 0
  • Total: 33
  • BibTeX: 2
  • EndNote: 1
Views and downloads (calculated since 09 Jan 2026)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 09 Jan 2026)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 31 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 31 with geography defined and 0 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 10 Jan 2026
Download
Short summary
We developed a new method to improve how a leading climate model simulates El Niño, a major driver of global weather extremes. By testing how the model responds to small changes in key atmospheric settings, we identified which processes matter most and adjusted them systematically. This approach makes the model’s behavior closer to observations and shows a promising path for building more reliable climate predictions.
Share