Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5608
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5608
16 Jan 2026
 | 16 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

SNOWstorm (v1.0) – a deep-learning based model for near-surface winds and drifting snow in mountain environments

Manuel Saigger, Brigitta Goger, and Thomas Mölg

Abstract. Wind-driven redistribution of snow and resulting heterogeneous snow accumulation poses a major uncertainty in mountain hydrology and distributed glacier mass balance models as it is often neglected. High-quality information on the fine-scale wind structure is crucial to predict snow redistribution, but past approaches either relied on highly simplified assumptions or on computationally expensive numerical simulations, inhibiting the application for long-term studies.

To bridge this gap, we introduce SNOWstorm – the snow drift sublimation and transport model. It is designed as a deep-learning based emulator model, that is trained on data from high-resolution (∆x = 50 m) numerical simulations in semi-idealized conditions, to be applicable over a wide range of atmospheric conditions and for a wide range of mountain regions. The model can be driven with input of standard atmospheric variables from coarse- to meso-scale numerical models and predicts near-surface wind fields, and rates of wind-driven snow mass change, drifting snow sublimation and snow transport. Validation experiments show that the model reproduces major terrain-induced flow features as well as patterns of snow redistribution. In a first real-world application study in the European Alps, SNOWstorm predicts wind fields and drifting snow patterns comparable to nested numerical large-eddy simulations, though at more than five orders of magnitude less computational expense. The model thus shows the potential to be used in future studies on multi-seasonal influence of snow redistribution on glacier mass balance in various climatic settings.

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Manuel Saigger, Brigitta Goger, and Thomas Mölg

Status: open (until 13 Mar 2026)

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Manuel Saigger, Brigitta Goger, and Thomas Mölg
Manuel Saigger, Brigitta Goger, and Thomas Mölg

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Short summary
We present a new model to predict near-surface winds and wind-driven transport of snow in mountain environments at high horizontal resolution. With its deep-learning based design, it is several orders of magnitude less computationally expensive compared to traditional numerical methods, while being applicable over a wide range of topographic settings and atmospheric conditions. A first application case study in the European Alps showed good agreement with numerical simulations and observations.
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