Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-946
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-946
12 Mar 2025
 | 12 Mar 2025

Long-term ecosystem dynamics of an ice-poor permafrost peatland in eastern Eurasia: paleoecological insights into climate sensitivity

Zhengyu Xia, Fengtong Chen, Mengyang Guo, and Zicheng Yu

Abstract. Northern peatlands are carbon-rich ecosystems highly sensitive to climate change, with nearly half of their carbon stocks associated with permafrost. Peat-based paleoecological records provide insights into the complex responses of permafrost peatlands to long-term climate variability, but most studies were conducted in ice-rich permafrost peatlands in Europe and North America. Here, we use multiple active-layer cores to reconstruct the ecosystem history of an ice-poor permafrost peatland in eastern Eurasia, near the southernmost limit of circumpolar permafrost but outside the circumpolar thermokarst landscape.

Our results show that the peatland, which developed on a floodplain since the late Holocene cooling, underwent a major phase of lateral expansion during the Little Ice Age. A fen-to-bog transition occurred in recent decades, with dry-adapted Sphagnum mosses replacing herbaceous vegetation across the site and having rapid surficial peat accumulation. Carbon isotope ratios of Sphagnum macrofossils, a proxy for surface wetness, indicate that Sphagnum mosses initially established under very dry conditions but that their habitats have since become gradually wetter.

Synthesizing these findings, we highlight that: (1) permafrost aggradation during climate cooling may promote new peatland formation over permeable mineral substrate by impeding drainage; (2) anthropogenic climate warming and active layer deepening can induce an ecosystem-scale regime shift, but ice-poor permafrost peatlands generally exhibit stability and homogeneity due to the absence of dynamic surface morphology (such as frost heave and thermokarst collapse); (3) recent wetting may result from surface adjustment–hydrology feedback and vegetation–hydrology feedback, demonstrating the internally driven resilience of ice-poor permafrost peatlands in maintaining their hydrology and carbon accumulation; and (4) ice-poor permafrost peatlands are likely to remain persistent carbon sinks under ongoing and future climate change.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

06 Oct 2025
Ecosystem dynamics of an ice-poor permafrost peatland in eastern Eurasia: paleoecological insights into climate sensitivity
Zhengyu Xia, Fengtong Chen, Mengyang Guo, and Zicheng Yu
Biogeosciences, 22, 5283–5308, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-5283-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-5283-2025, 2025
Short summary
Zhengyu Xia, Fengtong Chen, Mengyang Guo, and Zicheng Yu

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-946', Sebastian Wetterich, 30 Apr 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Zhengyu Xia, 12 Jul 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-946', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Jul 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Zhengyu Xia, 12 Jul 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-946', Sebastian Wetterich, 30 Apr 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Zhengyu Xia, 12 Jul 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-946', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Jul 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Zhengyu Xia, 12 Jul 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (15 Jul 2025) by Petr Kuneš
AR by Zhengyu Xia on behalf of the Authors (16 Jul 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (25 Jul 2025) by Petr Kuneš
AR by Zhengyu Xia on behalf of the Authors (26 Jul 2025)

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

06 Oct 2025
Ecosystem dynamics of an ice-poor permafrost peatland in eastern Eurasia: paleoecological insights into climate sensitivity
Zhengyu Xia, Fengtong Chen, Mengyang Guo, and Zicheng Yu
Biogeosciences, 22, 5283–5308, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-5283-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-5283-2025, 2025
Short summary
Zhengyu Xia, Fengtong Chen, Mengyang Guo, and Zicheng Yu
Zhengyu Xia, Fengtong Chen, Mengyang Guo, and Zicheng Yu

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The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

Short summary
We conducted a paleoecological analysis of multiple cores from an ice-poor permafrost peatland in eastern Eurasia to understand its long-term ecosystem dynamics. Our findings highlight that climate-permafrost interactions and their feedbacks play a key role in controlling peatland processes, including its formation, development, and ongoing trajectory. The studied peatland shows historical stability as well as resilience in maintaining hydrology and carbon sink amid ongoing climate change.
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