the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Review article: Stocktaking of methods for assessing dynamic vulnerability in the context of flood hazard research
Abstract. Dynamic vulnerability, driven by changing social, economic, physical, and environmental characteristics, is critical to understanding flood risk. Despite its importance, existing flood risk assessment research often overlooks the mechanisms that drive dynamic vulnerability and the interactions between underlying characteristics. In this study, we systematically review methods used to assess dynamic vulnerability in the context of floods and compile their findings about the drivers and effects of the dynamics in a dataset. We identify 28 relevant studies and group them into four categories of vulnerability dynamics: single-event, consecutive events, co-occurring events, and underlying dynamics. We find that most studies rely on indicator-based, statistical, or qualitative methods, with a notable under-representation of damage curves and process-based modeling approaches such as agent-based models. Demographics, economic characteristics, and awareness of flood risks are vulnerability dimensions most frequently assessed, whereas governance, health, crime, and conflict are rarely addressed. Data sources vary widely, with interviews and surveys dominating studies on consecutive events and single-event dynamics. In contrast, studies on underlying dynamics and co-occurring event dynamics use a much wider array of data sources (e.g., cadastral data, maps, or modeled data). This review highlights methodological gaps, including the limited analysis of causal relationships and the lack of integrated approaches for multi-hazard contexts. Advancing flood risk research requires holistic assessments, integration of diverse dimensions, and the development of dynamic modeling techniques to capture evolving vulnerability processes.
Competing interests: The authors have the following competing interests: Antonia Sebastian, Marleen de Ruiter and Robert Šakić Trogrlić are editors of the Special Issue we are submitting this manuscript to. Also, Robert Šakić Trogrlić and Philip Ward are editors for NHESS.
Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.- Preprint
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Status: final response (author comments only)
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-850', Anonymous Referee #1, 01 Apr 2025
This article aims to systematically review methods used to assess dynamic vulnerability in the context of floods. The authors also state that they compiled their findings about the drivers and effects of vulnerability dynamics in a dataset (but do not make this available to the reviewer as far as I can tell). The concept of dynamic vulnerability is important for many use cases in both research and practice. Unfortunately, the manuscript is unorganized, often vague, and many of the claims are imprecise. There are signs in the writing that the authors did not finish revising and editing the paper (e.g., an incomplete sentence L180-181 among other sloppy instances). These are limitations that a careful revision could overcome if the editor was forgiving. However, the review is not systematic and that is the main potential value of the manuscript. To overcome this challenge, the review needs a more rigorous sampling strategy, more distinctive and clear conceptual classifications, and an insights-driven synthesis approach.
I combine my specific comments and technical corrections into comments on individual sections in the attached pdf.
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AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Julius Schlumberger, 04 Jun 2025
Publisher’s note: the supplement to this comment was removed on 6 June 2025.
We want to thank the reviewer for the extensive review provided. We appreciate the time this reviewer took to offer their reflection on the paper, and we intend to use this review to sharpen the paper's scope and address concerns about its scientific relevance. As we understand, the main critiques relate to a mismatch between the planned scope of the article and the methodological choices that were made, along with the reviewer’s confusion about the objective of the article stemming from an insufficient elaboration on said scope and the key terminology around vulnerability and dynamics. We understand the reviewer’s concerns and have reflected on several options that we hope help to address them.
We acknowledge the ambiguity in the introduced concepts and categories used for the analysis. We intend to better contextualize this research by defining the term of vulnerability and articulating how we are using it in our review, along with the term ‘vulnerability dynamics’. For the latter, we don’t want to use earlier categorizations (e.g., based on de Ruiter & van Loon, 2023) as a starting point but as a subject for investigation and thus a potential outcome.
Second, we acknowledge that despite our initial claim, the research conducted cannot be called systematic. We discussed options to redo our search by including Scopus and/or Web of Science. However, the original search terms do not return sufficient substance on either search platform, and would necessitate an entirely different strategy for querying these databases and thus require starting from scratch. While we acknowledge that the paper requires significant revisions, we do not believe that re-structuring our entire literature search is necessary to address the reviewer’s comments. Instead, we propose that we would more clearly articulate that the purpose of this manuscript is to showcase methods that have been or could be used to assess dynamic vulnerability in the context of flood-related hazards and their impacts. More specifically, we investigate how conventional vulnerability assessment methods (e.g., social vulnerability indices, physics- and process-based models, and statistical and narrative-based methods) can be used or tailored to assess vulnerability dynamics. Instead of using a set of vulnerability categories (as done in the original version), we intend to reorganize the existing material to focus on the methods themselves. We specifically investigate what data are used, which (sub-)dimensions of vulnerability are considered, how these methods capture temporal dimensions of vulnerability dynamics (time span and resolution), or not, and what changes were investigated using these methods, if any. In restructuring the manuscript to achieve this goal, we can leverage all of the papers we have already collected and reviewed as part of our initial submission.
Third, we intend to discuss whether there are any patterns visible regarding specific causes or situations that result in vulnerability dynamics. This should offer some evidence to reflect on possible ways to categorize vulnerability dynamics, also in the light of already proposed conventions (e.g. de Ruiter & Van Loon, 2023). We do not want to create one based on the evidence we collect, but hope it could be a starting point for future attempts to come up with a relevant categorization of different vulnerability dynamics. Lastly, we also want to articulate limitations of the methods introduced in the papers that we included in our review.
We believe such an analysis of the existing literature still has significance, even if it is not structured as a systematic review. As the reviewer noted, vulnerability research is vast and (partly) ambiguous. Vulnerability dynamics are a subject of interest at the moment, but there are limited insights into how to best assess vulnerability dynamics and their contribution to risk profiles or outcomes. With our review, we want to showcase the existing research in this area, focusing on what has been used/produced in relation to the flood (disaster) risk management community.
We are convinced that the data we have collected offers a promising starting point for providing relevant insights to the community. However, acknowledging the methodological limitations of our current approach, we apply a targeted literature review to identify relevant studies across different methodological frameworks. We intend to use a similar approach to what has been done by Ward et al. (2020; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasec.2020.100070) and di Angeli et al. (2022; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102829), which are just two of many examples of influential research using targeted (non-systematic) literature reviews. With these changes to our analysis and intended scope , we offer a starting point for further investigations from within the flood risk management community, which can be linked to investigations from other hazard communities (e.g., fire, drought) in the future.
Attached, we include line-by-line responses to the reviewer’s comments.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-850-AC1 - AC3: 'Reply on RC1', Julius Schlumberger, 04 Jun 2025
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AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Julius Schlumberger, 04 Jun 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-850', Anonymous Referee #2, 10 Apr 2025
The study aims at reviewing the methods, contents and datasets of dynamic vulnerability assessments to floods, while basing on the previous conceptualizations of vulnerability dynamics. While the study offers some interesting insights in terms of methodological development, it has two major drawbacks: 1) unjustified methodological choices, that led to a small and possibly very limited sample, and 2) novelty – while the study points out gaps, and claims to provide “roadmap for advancing more robust and dynamic flood vulnerability assessments”, it stops short of that and focuses mainly on reiterating what has or has not been done. In sum, the study could be worthy of publication if it a) fulfilled a proper systematic search and review strategy, which is in this case doable and warranted; b) reviewed an exhaustive sample of papers, c) produced a bit more interesting contribution beyond gaps.
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AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Julius Schlumberger, 04 Jun 2025
We want to thank the reviewer for the extensive review provided. We appreciate the time this reviewer took to offer their reflection on the paper, and we intend to use this review to sharpen the paper's scope and address concerns about its scientific relevance. As we understand, the main critiques relate to a mismatch between the planned scope of the article and the methodological choices that were made, along with the reviewer’s confusion about the objective of the article stemming from an insufficient elaboration on said scope and the key terminology around vulnerability and dynamics. We understand the reviewer’s concerns and have reflected on several options that we hope help to address them.
We acknowledge the ambiguity in the introduced concepts and categories used for the analysis. We intend to better contextualize this research by defining the term of vulnerability and articulating how we are using it in our review, along with the term ‘vulnerability dynamics’. For the latter, we don’t want to use earlier categorizations (e.g., based on de Ruiter & van Loon, 2023) as a starting point but as a subject for investigation and thus a potential outcome.
Second, we acknowledge that despite our initial claim, the research conducted cannot be called systematic. We discussed options to redo our search by including Scopus and/or Web of Science. However, the original search terms do not return sufficient substance on either search platform, and would necessitate an entirely different strategy for querying these databases and thus require starting from scratch. While we acknowledge that the paper requires significant revisions, we do not believe that re-structuring our entire literature search is necessary to address the reviewer’s comments. Instead, we propose that we would more clearly articulate that the purpose of this manuscript is to showcase methods that have been or could be used to assess dynamic vulnerability in the context of flood-related hazards and their impacts. More specifically, we investigate how conventional vulnerability assessment methods (e.g., social vulnerability indices, physics- and process-based models, and statistical and narrative-based methods) can be used or tailored to assess vulnerability dynamics. Instead of using a set of vulnerability categories (as done in the original version), we intend to reorganize the existing material to focus on the methods themselves. We specifically investigate what data are used, which (sub-)dimensions of vulnerability are considered, how these methods capture temporal dimensions of vulnerability dynamics (time span and resolution), or not, and what changes were investigated using these methods, if any. In restructuring the manuscript to achieve this goal, we can leverage all of the papers we have already collected and reviewed as part of our initial submission.
Third, we intend to discuss whether there are any patterns visible regarding specific causes or situations that result in vulnerability dynamics. This should offer some evidence to reflect on possible ways to categorize vulnerability dynamics, also in the light of already proposed conventions (e.g. de Ruiter & Van Loon, 2023). We do not want to create one based on the evidence we collect, but hope it could be a starting point for future attempts to come up with a relevant categorization of different vulnerability dynamics. Lastly, we also want to articulate limitations of the methods introduced in the papers that we included in our review.
We believe such an analysis of the existing literature still has significance, even if it is not structured as a systematic review. As the reviewer noted, vulnerability research is vast and (partly) ambiguous. Vulnerability dynamics are a subject of interest at the moment, but there are limited insights into how to best assess vulnerability dynamics and their contribution to risk profiles or outcomes. With our review, we want to showcase the existing research in this area, focusing on what has been used/produced in relation to the flood (disaster) risk management community.
We are convinced that the data we have collected offers a promising starting point for providing relevant insights to the community. However, acknowledging the methodological limitations of our current approach, we apply a targeted literature review to identify relevant studies across different methodological frameworks. We intend to use a similar approach to what has been done by Ward et al. (2020; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasec.2020.100070) and di Angeli et al. (2022; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102829), which are just two of many examples of influential research using targeted (non-systematic) literature reviews. With these changes to our analysis and intended scope , we offer a starting point for further investigations from within the flood risk management community, which can be linked to investigations from other hazard communities (e.g., fire, drought) in the future.
Attached, we include line-by-line responses to the reviewer’s comments.
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AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Julius Schlumberger, 04 Jun 2025
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