Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-456
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-456
10 Mar 2025
 | 10 Mar 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).

Characteristics of gauged abrupt wave fronts (walls of water) in flash floods in Scotland

David Ronald Archer, Felipe de Mendonca Fileni, Samuel Archer Watkiss, and Hayley Jane Fowler

Abstract. Extremely rapid rates of rise in river level and discharge are a subset of flash floods (‘abrupt wave front floods’, AWFs) and are separate hazards from peak river level. They pose a danger to life to river users and occur mainly in the summer. The rate of change in gauged river level and discharge can be used to assess and compare the severity of AWF events within and between catchments. We use several metrics of discharge severity to investigate AWFs on 260 Scottish gauged catchments. We use the full flow record for each station and map the occurrence of maximum 15 min change in river levels and discharge. We map a further three measures to compare risk between catchments including the multiple of the 15 min flow increase from the initial to terminal discharge. The concurrent increase in velocity is difficult to measure but wave celerity can be assessed where there are observations of the time of wave onset at more than one point on a channel. We investigate several such events on the River Findhorn in northeast Scotland. Such events need better monitoring forecasting and warning, particularly as extreme downpours are becoming more frequent with global warming.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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David Ronald Archer, Felipe de Mendonca Fileni, Samuel Archer Watkiss, and Hayley Jane Fowler

Status: open (until 24 Apr 2025)

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  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-456', Duncan Faulkner, 14 Mar 2025 reply
David Ronald Archer, Felipe de Mendonca Fileni, Samuel Archer Watkiss, and Hayley Jane Fowler
David Ronald Archer, Felipe de Mendonca Fileni, Samuel Archer Watkiss, and Hayley Jane Fowler

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Short summary
Our intention is to highlight the unacknowledged and sometimes fatal hazard of rapid rate of rise in river level and flow. Using the full 15-minute records of 260 Scottish gauging stations we have extracted the maximum rates of 15-minute rise in events generated by intense convective rainfall and described their characteristics in terms of the severity of the hazard within and between catchments. Events have all the properties of kinematic shock whose mere existence has previously been doubted.
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