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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3743
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3743
15 Sep 2025
 | 15 Sep 2025

A new method for estimating cloud optical depth from photovoltaic power measurements

William Wandji Nyamsi, Anders V. Lindfors, Angela Meyer, Antti Lipponen, and Antti Arola

Abstract. A new method was developed to estimate the cloud optical depth (τc) from photovoltaic (PV) power measurements under overcast sky conditions. It is the first fully physical and universally applicable method utilizing directly PV power measurements. It exploits the recent advances and real-time availability at global scale of aerosol properties, downwelling shortwave irradiance and its direct and diffuse components received at ground level under clear-sky conditions, ground albedo and extraterrestrial irradiance, altogether provided by the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) radiation service. In addition to CAMS data, wind speed and air temperature from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) twentieth century reanalysis ERA5 products are also used as inputs. An algorithm for selecting overcast sky conditions has been designed too. The estimates have been compared to different data sources of retrievals at four experimental PV sites located in various climates. When compared to retrieved from ground–based pyranometer measurements serving as reference, the correlation coefficient is greater than 0.97. The bias ranges between –3 and 4, i.e., −8 % and 12 % in relative value. The root mean square error (RMSE) lies in the interval [3, 8] ([9, 21] % in relative value). When compared to satellite–based retrievals from Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), both relative errors become comprehensively greater. Nevertheless, our method remarkably reduces the relative bias and RMSE, by up to 10 % and 20 % respectively, compared to the existing state-of-the-art approach. This work demonstrates the accuracy of the method and clearly shows its great potential use whenever PV power measurements are available.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

09 Feb 2026
A new method for estimating cloud optical depth from photovoltaic power measurements
William Wandji Nyamsi, Anders V. Lindfors, Angela Meyer, Antti Lipponen, and Antti Arola
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 19, 899–922, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-899-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-899-2026, 2026
Short summary
William Wandji Nyamsi, Anders V. Lindfors, Angela Meyer, Antti Lipponen, and Antti Arola

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3743', Simone Lolli, 29 Sep 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on CC1', William Wandji Nyamsi, 02 Jan 2026
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3743', Anonymous Referee #1, 05 Oct 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', William Wandji Nyamsi, 02 Jan 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3743', Anonymous Referee #3, 07 Dec 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', William Wandji Nyamsi, 02 Jan 2026

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3743', Simone Lolli, 29 Sep 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on CC1', William Wandji Nyamsi, 02 Jan 2026
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3743', Anonymous Referee #1, 05 Oct 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', William Wandji Nyamsi, 02 Jan 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3743', Anonymous Referee #3, 07 Dec 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', William Wandji Nyamsi, 02 Jan 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by William Wandji Nyamsi on behalf of the Authors (02 Jan 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (08 Jan 2026) by Chao Liu
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (19 Jan 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (22 Jan 2026)
ED: Publish as is (22 Jan 2026) by Chao Liu
AR by William Wandji Nyamsi on behalf of the Authors (22 Jan 2026)

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

09 Feb 2026
A new method for estimating cloud optical depth from photovoltaic power measurements
William Wandji Nyamsi, Anders V. Lindfors, Angela Meyer, Antti Lipponen, and Antti Arola
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 19, 899–922, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-899-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-19-899-2026, 2026
Short summary
William Wandji Nyamsi, Anders V. Lindfors, Angela Meyer, Antti Lipponen, and Antti Arola
William Wandji Nyamsi, Anders V. Lindfors, Angela Meyer, Antti Lipponen, and Antti Arola

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Short summary
This paper proposes a new, fast and accurate method for estimating the cloud optical depth (τc) from photovoltaic (PV) power measurements under overcast sky conditions. The method performs very well with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) products as inputs describing the state of the atmosphere. The method exhibits a similar or better performance than published state-of-the-art methods when compared to ground and satellite-based τc retrievals serving as reference.
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