Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3301
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3301
21 Aug 2025
 | 21 Aug 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).

Enhancing Parameter Calibration in Land Surface Models Using a Multi-Task Surrogate Model within a Differentiable Parameter Learning Framework

Wenpeng Xie, Hongmei Li, and Kei Yoshimura

Abstract. Land surface models (LSMs) are essential for simulating terrestrial processes and their interactions with the atmosphere. However, parameter calibration in LSMs remains a major challenge owing to complex process coupling and parameter uncertainty. For example, key parameters, such as plant function type (PFT), are often estimated using field measurements or empirical relationships, which are characterized by limited accuracy, resulting in systematic biases and inconsistencies. In this study, we introduce multiple-task differentiable parameter learning (MdPL), a deep learning framework that combines a multitask surrogate model with a differentiable parameter generator for more accurate and efficient LSM parameter calibration. The multitask surrogate learns both shared and task-specific features to predict multiple fluxes, and the differentiable generator infers site-specific parameters from meteorological forcings and land surface attributes. Calibrated across 20 sites spanning four PFTs, the MdPL-calibrated Integrated Land Simulator (ILS) achieved a 15 % decrease in RMSE for both sensible and latent heat flux simulations. Further, benchmarking using the PLUMBER2 dataset showed that the MdPL-calibrated ILS outperformed standard LSMs (CLM5, JULES, Noah, and GFDL), and its accuracy matched or exceeded those of LSTM-based approaches. The assessment of its transferability via leave-one-out cross-validation for evergreen forest, woodland, and cultivation sites showed reasonable transfer performance for evergreen forests and woodlands, with parameter sets yielding close-to-optimal flux simulations, even without site specification. However, for cultivation sites, PFT parameters exhibited strong site specificity, with parameter sets from the same PFT not reliably transferred. Despite its reduced effectiveness of the framework for cultivation sites under fixed PFT settings, it offers a scalable and physically grounded approach for enhancing parameter calibration in complex LSMs.

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Wenpeng Xie, Hongmei Li, and Kei Yoshimura

Status: open (until 16 Oct 2025)

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Wenpeng Xie, Hongmei Li, and Kei Yoshimura

Data sets

Dataset and results for dPL and MdPL Experiments Wenpeng Xie https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15753067

Model code and software

model code, figure and table reproduction Wenpeng Xie https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15748737

Interactive computing environment

ILS environment and Pytorch environment Wenpeng Xie https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15748737

Wenpeng Xie, Hongmei Li, and Kei Yoshimura

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Short summary
Forecasts of land–air heat and moisture exchange often depend on experts manually adjusting settings, causing inconsistencies. We developed a deep learning method that automatically calibrates these simulations using observations from twenty sites, reducing average errors by fifteen percent. It kept high accuracy at new forest locations while showing more variability at farms. This tool enables faster, more reliable forecasts without manual tuning.
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