Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-286
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-286
28 Feb 2025
 | 28 Feb 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Modeling and observing the Lake Albano dynamics

Anita Grezio, Damiano Delrosso, Marco Anzidei, Marco Bianucci, Giovanni Chiodini, Antonio Costa, Antonio Guarnieri, Marina Locritani, Silvia Merlino, Filippo Muccini, Marco Paterni, Dmitri Rouwet, Giancarlo Tamburello, and Georg Umgiesser

Abstract. Lake Albano is a monomictic volcanic crater lake in Central Italy with CO2-rich waters presenting CO2 concentration varying over time. Depending on the period of the year, the lake is characterized by strong stratification or rather overturning events. In the warm season, the heating of the surface water results in a highly stratified vertical density profile, while in the cold season, the surface water cooling leads to a potential vertical instability of the water column. In this case, a partial/deep overturning of the lake water column may occur with the degassing in the atmosphere of the CO2 which was accumulated as dissolved species in the deep water layers following seismically induced gas recharge, months to years before. Such a process has been periodically observed in Lake Albano in the past and could pose a potential hazard to the surrounding environment and population. A 3D numerical model is implemented to investigate the lake dynamics and the occurrence of overturning events. The model is validated and calibrated using both historical observations and measurements acquired during this study. These include temperature and salinity profiles from the deepest central portion of the lake, surface water temperature time series recorded by sensors installed on the lake shores, mounted on remotely operated vehicles, and on low-cost, innovative, self-powered drifting buoys. The latter have also been used to assess the modeled surface circulation of the lake.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Anita Grezio, Damiano Delrosso, Marco Anzidei, Marco Bianucci, Giovanni Chiodini, Antonio Costa, Antonio Guarnieri, Marina Locritani, Silvia Merlino, Filippo Muccini, Marco Paterni, Dmitri Rouwet, Giancarlo Tamburello, and Georg Umgiesser

Status: open (until 21 Apr 2025)

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Anita Grezio, Damiano Delrosso, Marco Anzidei, Marco Bianucci, Giovanni Chiodini, Antonio Costa, Antonio Guarnieri, Marina Locritani, Silvia Merlino, Filippo Muccini, Marco Paterni, Dmitri Rouwet, Giancarlo Tamburello, and Georg Umgiesser
Anita Grezio, Damiano Delrosso, Marco Anzidei, Marco Bianucci, Giovanni Chiodini, Antonio Costa, Antonio Guarnieri, Marina Locritani, Silvia Merlino, Filippo Muccini, Marco Paterni, Dmitri Rouwet, Giancarlo Tamburello, and Georg Umgiesser

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Short summary
Volcanic lakes have been recognized as a rare but devastating source of disasters after the limnic eruption of Lake Nyos in 1986. The potential risk of Lake Albano (20 km southeast of the centre of Rome, Italy) is due to exposed elements (people presence, economic and touristic activities). The 3D modelling of the lake dynamics is crucial to investigate the lake stratification and degassing and the current and future behavior and stability of Lake Albano.
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