Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1736
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1736
15 May 2025
 | 15 May 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

The Atmospheric Potential Oxygen forward Model Intercomparison Project (APO-MIP1): Evaluating simulated atmospheric transport of air-sea gas exchange tracers and APO flux products

Yuming Jin, Britton B. Stephens, Matthew C. Long, Naveen Chandra, Frédéric Chevallier, Joram J. D. Hooghiem, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Shamil Maksyutov, Eric J. Morgan, Yosuke Niwa, Prabir K. Patra, Christian Rödenbeck, and Jesse Vance

Abstract. Atmospheric Potential Oxygen (APO, defined as O2 + 1.1 × CO2 ) is a tracer of air-sea O2 exchange, exhibiting strong seasonal variability over mid-to-high latitudes. We present results from the first version of Atmospheric Potential Oxygen forward Model Intercomparison Project (APO-MIP1), which forward transports three air-sea APO flux products in eight atmospheric transport models or model variants, aiming to evaluate atmospheric transport and flux representations by comparing simulations against surface station, airborne, and shipboard observations of APO. We find significant spread and bias in APO simulations at eastern Pacific surface stations, indicating inconsistencies in representing vertical and coastal atmospheric mixing. A framework using airborne APO observations demonstrates that most atmospheric transport models (ATMs) participating in APO-MIP1 overestimate tracer diffusive mixing across moist isentropes (i.e., diabatic mixing) in mid-latitudes. This framework also enables us to isolate ATM-related biases in simulated APO distributions using independent mixing constraints derived from moist static energy budgets from reanalysis, thereby allowing us to assess large-scale features in air-sea APO flux products. Furthermore, shipboard observations show that ATMs are unable to reproduce seasonal APO gradients over Drake Passage and near Palmer Station, Antarctica, which could arise from uncertainties in APO fluxes or model transport. The transport simulations and flux products from APO-MIP1 provide valuable resources for developing new APO flux inversions and evaluating ocean biogeochemical processes.

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Yuming Jin, Britton B. Stephens, Matthew C. Long, Naveen Chandra, Frédéric Chevallier, Joram J. D. Hooghiem, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Shamil Maksyutov, Eric J. Morgan, Yosuke Niwa, Prabir K. Patra, Christian Rödenbeck, and Jesse Vance

Status: open (until 10 Jul 2025)

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Yuming Jin, Britton B. Stephens, Matthew C. Long, Naveen Chandra, Frédéric Chevallier, Joram J. D. Hooghiem, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Shamil Maksyutov, Eric J. Morgan, Yosuke Niwa, Prabir K. Patra, Christian Rödenbeck, and Jesse Vance

Data sets

Atmospheric Potential Oxygen forward Model Intercomparison Project (APO-MIP) Britton B. Stephens e tal. https://doi.org/10.5065/f3pw-a676

Yuming Jin, Britton B. Stephens, Matthew C. Long, Naveen Chandra, Frédéric Chevallier, Joram J. D. Hooghiem, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Shamil Maksyutov, Eric J. Morgan, Yosuke Niwa, Prabir K. Patra, Christian Rödenbeck, and Jesse Vance

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Short summary
We carry out a comprehensive atmospheric transport model (ATM) intercomparison project. This project aims to evaluate errors in ATMs and three air-sea O2 exchange products by comparing model simulations with observations collected from surface stations, ships, and aircraft. We also present a model evaluation framework to independently quantify transport-related and flux-related biases that contribute to model-observation discrepancies in atmospheric tracer distributions.
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