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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3825
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3825
05 Feb 2025
 | 05 Feb 2025

Impact of volcanic sulfate aerosols on the stratospheric heating: implications on the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation

Prashant Chavan, Suvarna Fadnavis, Anton Laakso, Jean-Paul Vernier, Simone Tilmes, and Rolf Müller

Abstract. Large and moderate volcanic eruptions significantly impact Earth's atmosphere by releasing sulphur emissions, thereby affecting atmospheric dynamics and QBO. Using the ECHAM6-HAMMOZ model, we show the impact of eruptive volcanoes on the tropical stratosphere and Quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) from 2001 to 2013. Our simulations with volcanoes, when compared without volcanoes, show that volcanic sulfate aerosols enhance the stratospheric aerosol optical depth (SAOD) two months after the eruption of Rabaul (0.0034); Sarychev (0.0040) and Nabro (0.0097). The enhanced SOAD in the tropics (0.0014) led to a radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) by -0.92±0.34 W m-2 and at the surface by -0.88±0.18 W m-2 in the tropical region. The volcanic aerosol precursors enter the tropical stratosphere, propagating upward and enhancing sulfate aerosol concentrations by 46.95 ng m⁻³ and heating rates by 0.13±0.05×10⁻² K d⁻¹. The QBO estimated from model simulations using the wavelet analysis shows that stratospheric heating caused by the volcanoes reduces the amplitude of the QBO and disrupts its phases, resulting in the prolongation of the easterly phase by ~12 to 20 months and the westerly phase by ~16 to 24 months. The secondary meridional circulation induced by the QBO produces the double-peak structure in the amplitude near the equator, with peaks at 10 hPa and at 50 hPa. Our study points out that moderate and large volcanoes modulate the QBO. Since QBO also modulates tropical convection and weather, we suggest including volcanic eruptions and the QBO in weather prediction models for a better forecast.

Competing interests: More than one author is Editor of the journal Atmospheric Chemistry and physics.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Prashant Chavan, Suvarna Fadnavis, Anton Laakso, Jean-Paul Vernier, Simone Tilmes, and Rolf Müller

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Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3825', Flossie Brown, 16 Feb 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3825', Anonymous Referee #2, 17 Feb 2025
Prashant Chavan, Suvarna Fadnavis, Anton Laakso, Jean-Paul Vernier, Simone Tilmes, and Rolf Müller
Prashant Chavan, Suvarna Fadnavis, Anton Laakso, Jean-Paul Vernier, Simone Tilmes, and Rolf Müller

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Short summary
Our simulations with volcanoes, when compared without volcanoes, show that volcanic aerosol precursors enter the tropical stratosphere, propagating upward and enhancing sulphate aerosol and heating. This stratospheric heating caused by the volcanoes reduces the amplitude of the QBO and disrupts its phases. Since QBO also modulates tropical convection and weather, we suggest including volcanic emissions and the QBO in the weather prediction model for a better forecast.
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