Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3181
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3181
03 Jan 2025
 | 03 Jan 2025

Volcanic emission estimates from the inversion of ACTRIS lidar observations and their use for quantitative dispersion modelling

Anna Kampouri, Vassilis Amiridis, Thanasis Georgiou, Stavros Solomos, Anna Gialitaki, Maria Tsichla, Michael Rennie, Simona Scollo, and Prodromos Zanis

Abstract. Modeling the dispersion of volcanic particles following explosive eruptions is critical for aviation safety. To constrain the dispersion of volcanic plumes and assess hazards, calculations rely on accurate characterization of the eruptions source term e.g., variation of emission rate and column height with time and the prevailing wind fields. This study introduces an inverse modeling framework that integrates a Lagrangian dispersion model with lidar observations to estimate emission rates of volcanic particles released during an Etna eruption. The methodology consists of using the FLEXPART model to generate source-receptor relationships between the volcano and a lidar system that observed the ensuing volcanic plume, which then are used to derive the emission rates using the observational data. We leverage data from the ACTRIS PollyXT lidar that operates at the PANhellenic GEophysical observatory of Antikythera. The inversion algorithm utilizes lidar observations and an empirical a-priori emission profile to estimate the volcanic particle source strength, accounting for altitude and time evolution of the plume. Additionally, to study the impact wind fields have on volcanic ash forecasting, the experiment is repeated using fields that assimilate Aeolus wind lidar data. Our approach applied to the 12 March 2021 Etna eruption, accurately captures a dense aerosol layer between 8 and 12.5 km. Results show a minimal difference of the order of 2 % between the observed and the simulated ash concentrations. The presented inversion algorithm coupled with Aeolus data, optimizes both the vertical emission distribution and Etna emission rates, advancing our understanding and preparedness for volcanic events.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

14 Jul 2025
Volcanic emission estimates from the inversion of ACTRIS lidar observations and their use for quantitative dispersion modeling
Anna Kampouri, Vassilis Amiridis, Thanasis Georgiou, Stavros Solomos, Anna Gialitaki, Maria Tsichla, Michael Rennie, Simona Scollo, and Prodromos Zanis
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 7343–7368, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-7343-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-7343-2025, 2025
Short summary
Anna Kampouri, Vassilis Amiridis, Thanasis Georgiou, Stavros Solomos, Anna Gialitaki, Maria Tsichla, Michael Rennie, Simona Scollo, and Prodromos Zanis

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3181', Anonymous Referee #2, 21 Jan 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Anna Kampouri, 14 Mar 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3181', Anonymous Referee #1, 22 Jan 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Anna Kampouri, 14 Mar 2025
  • CC1: 'Critical comment on egusphere-2024-3181', s singh, 12 Feb 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Anna Kampouri, 14 Mar 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3181', Anonymous Referee #2, 21 Jan 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Anna Kampouri, 14 Mar 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3181', Anonymous Referee #1, 22 Jan 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Anna Kampouri, 14 Mar 2025
  • CC1: 'Critical comment on egusphere-2024-3181', s singh, 12 Feb 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Anna Kampouri, 14 Mar 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Anna Kampouri on behalf of the Authors (14 Mar 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (19 Mar 2025) by Stelios Kazadzis
AR by Anna Kampouri on behalf of the Authors (28 Mar 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (28 Mar 2025) by Stelios Kazadzis
AR by Anna Kampouri on behalf of the Authors (03 Apr 2025)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

14 Jul 2025
Volcanic emission estimates from the inversion of ACTRIS lidar observations and their use for quantitative dispersion modeling
Anna Kampouri, Vassilis Amiridis, Thanasis Georgiou, Stavros Solomos, Anna Gialitaki, Maria Tsichla, Michael Rennie, Simona Scollo, and Prodromos Zanis
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 7343–7368, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-7343-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-7343-2025, 2025
Short summary
Anna Kampouri, Vassilis Amiridis, Thanasis Georgiou, Stavros Solomos, Anna Gialitaki, Maria Tsichla, Michael Rennie, Simona Scollo, and Prodromos Zanis
Anna Kampouri, Vassilis Amiridis, Thanasis Georgiou, Stavros Solomos, Anna Gialitaki, Maria Tsichla, Michael Rennie, Simona Scollo, and Prodromos Zanis

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Short summary
This study proposes a novel inverse modeling framework coupled with remote sensing data for improving volcanic ash dispersion forecasts, essential for aviation safety. By integrating FLEXPART dispersion model outputs with ground-based ACTRIS lidar observations, the approach estimates Etna's volcanic particle emissions and highlights significant enhancement of the forecast accuracy.
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