Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3122
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3122
20 Dec 2024
 | 20 Dec 2024

CH4 emissions from Northern Europe wetlands: compared data assimilation approaches

Guillaume Monteil, Jalisha Theanutti Kallingal, and Marko Scholze

Abstract. Atmospheric inverse modelling and ecosystem data assimilation are two complementary approaches to estimate CH4 emissions. The inverse approach infers emission estimates from observed atmospheric CH4 mixing ratio, which provide robust large scale constraints on total methane emissions, but with poor spatial and process resolution. On the other hand, in the ecosystem data assimilation approach, the fit of an ecosystem model (e.g. a Dynamic Global Vegetation Model, DGVM) to eddy-covariance (EC) flux measurements is used to optimize model parameters, leading to more realistic emission estimates.

Coupled data assimilation frameworks capable of assimilating both atmospheric and ecosystem observations have been shown to work for estimating CO2 emissions (e.g. Rayner et al. (2005)), however ecosystem data assimilation for estimation CH4 emissions is relatively new. Kallingal et al. (2024) developed the GRaB-AM data assimilation system, which performs a parameter optimization of the LPJ-GUESS against eddy-covariance estimation of CH4 emissions. The optimization improves the fit to EC data, but the validity of the estimate at large scale remained to be tested.

In this study, we used the LUMIA regional atmospheric inversion system (Monteil and Scholze, 2021) to confront wetland emissions from the GRaB-AM approach to atmospheric CH4 measurements in Europe. We then perform inversions using the information from GRaB-AM as prior. This let us infer a refined estimate for wetland emissions in Nordic Europe, and to explore the potential for a fully coupled data assimilation framework.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

30 Oct 2025
CH4 emissions from Northern Europe wetlands: compared data assimilation approaches
Guillaume Monteil, Jalisha Theanutti Kallingal, and Marko Scholze
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 14251–14277, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-14251-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-14251-2025, 2025
Short summary
Guillaume Monteil, Jalisha Theanutti Kallingal, and Marko Scholze

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3122', Anonymous Referee #1, 10 Jan 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Guillaume Monteil, 03 Aug 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3122', Anonymous Referee #2, 10 Feb 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Guillaume Monteil, 03 Aug 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3122', Anonymous Referee #1, 10 Jan 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Guillaume Monteil, 03 Aug 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3122', Anonymous Referee #2, 10 Feb 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Guillaume Monteil, 03 Aug 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Guillaume Monteil on behalf of the Authors (03 Aug 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (19 Aug 2025) by Tim Butler
AR by Guillaume Monteil on behalf of the Authors (03 Sep 2025)

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

30 Oct 2025
CH4 emissions from Northern Europe wetlands: compared data assimilation approaches
Guillaume Monteil, Jalisha Theanutti Kallingal, and Marko Scholze
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 14251–14277, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-14251-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-14251-2025, 2025
Short summary
Guillaume Monteil, Jalisha Theanutti Kallingal, and Marko Scholze
Guillaume Monteil, Jalisha Theanutti Kallingal, and Marko Scholze

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Latest update: 30 Oct 2025
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Short summary
Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, emitted both from natural and anthropogenic processes. Large uncertainties remain on its emission budget. Our study compares and combines two approaches to estimate European methane emissions, with a focus on wetlands, based on observed atmospheric CH4 concentrations and in-situ flux measurements. We find a good agreement and complementarity between the approaches, and identify obstacles towards a more integrated data-informed emission estimation system.
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