Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924
23 Sep 2024
 | 23 Sep 2024

Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social-ecological multi-layer network model

Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, and Jonathan F. Donges

Abstract. Social norms are a key socio-cultural driver of human behaviour and have been identified as a central process in potential social tipping dynamics. They play a central role in governance and thus represent a possible intervention point for collective action problems in the Anthropocene, such as natural resource management. A detailed modelling framework for social norm change is needed to capture the dynamics of human societies and their feedback interactions with the natural environment. To date, resource use models often incorporate social norms in an oversimplified manner, as a robust and detailed coupled social-ecological model, scaling from the local to the global World-Earth scale, is lacking. Here we present a multi-level network framework with a complex contagion process for modelling the dynamics of descriptive and injunctive social norms. The framework is complemented by social groups and their attitudes, which can significantly influence the adoption of social norms. We integrate the modelling concept of norms together with an additional individual social learning component into a model of coupled social-ecological dynamics with a closed feedback loop, implemented in the copan:CORE framework for World–Earth modelling. We find that norms generally bifurcate the behaviour space into two extreme states: one sustainable and one unsustainable. Reaching a sustainable (i.e. safe) state becomes more likely with low thresholds of conforming to sustainable norms, as well as lower consideration rates of own resource harvesting success. Modelling both descriptive and injunctive norms independently and dynamically introduces additional intermediate states, e.g. when there are countervailing norms. The shape of the bifurcation depends on the number of groups and members and thus on the social network topology. Where groups are very inert in changing their attitudes and thus consistently convey the same norm, multiple stable basins for sustainability levels are found. Groups influence the dynamics by facilitating or inhibiting the contagion of sustainable behaviour by communicating their norms. The success of a generic social norm intervention is also found to be highly dependent on the group topology. Our findings suggest that explicitly modelling social norm processes together with social groups enriches the dynamics of social-ecological models and determines safe operating spaces. Consequently, both should be taken into account when representing human behaviour in coupled World–Earth models.

Competing interests: J. F. D. is member of the editorial board of Earth System Dynamics. The authors declare no further competing interests.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

26 Aug 2025
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social–ecological multi-layer network model
Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, and Jonathan F. Donges
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1365–1390, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1365-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1365-2025, 2025
Short summary
Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, and Jonathan F. Donges

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2924', Anonymous Referee #1, 30 Oct 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Max Bechthold, 09 Jan 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC1', Max Bechthold, 09 Jan 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2924', Anonymous Referee #2, 13 Dec 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Max Bechthold, 09 Jan 2025
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC2', Max Bechthold, 09 Jan 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2924', Anonymous Referee #1, 30 Oct 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Max Bechthold, 09 Jan 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC1', Max Bechthold, 09 Jan 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2924', Anonymous Referee #2, 13 Dec 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Max Bechthold, 09 Jan 2025
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC2', Max Bechthold, 09 Jan 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (03 Feb 2025) by James Dyke
AR by Max Bechthold on behalf of the Authors (11 Mar 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (01 Apr 2025) by James Dyke
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (01 Apr 2025) by James Dyke
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (14 Apr 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (15 Apr 2025)
ED: Publish as is (24 Apr 2025) by James Dyke
AR by Max Bechthold on behalf of the Authors (30 Apr 2025)  Manuscript 

Post-review adjustments

AA: Author's adjustment | EA: Editor approval
AA by Max Bechthold on behalf of the Authors (24 Jul 2025)   Author's adjustment   Manuscript
EA: Adjustments approved (19 Aug 2025) by James Dyke

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

26 Aug 2025
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social–ecological multi-layer network model
Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, and Jonathan F. Donges
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1365–1390, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1365-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1365-2025, 2025
Short summary
Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, and Jonathan F. Donges

Model code and software

pycopancore: Reference implementation of the Nexploit model in the copan:CORE World-Earth modelling framework Max Bechthold et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12705525

Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, and Jonathan F. Donges

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Short summary
Social norms are a major influence on human behaviour. In natural resource use models, norms are often included in a simplistic way leading to "black or white" sustainability outcomes. We find that a dynamic representation of norms, including social groups, determines more nuanced states of the environment in a stylized model of resource use, while also defining the success of attempts to manage the system, suggesting the importance of well representing both in coupled models.
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